Lol · resolved market
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c7dcb39886e6604a522fd66001fccf0162a99417cac62cf55e6928c057ec4c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Dignitas | 39c | 9,834$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.1 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Dignitas | 1c | 7,332$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Sentinels | 61c | 6,726$4,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.82 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Sentinels | 61c | 6,251$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.29 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Dignitas | 28c | 4,413$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.92 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Sentinels | 61c | 3,583$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.39 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Dignitas | 40c | 3,120$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.8 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Dignitas | 19c | 2,600$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 1,060 | 28.5%302 W · 758 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dignitas | 39c | 2,530$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.11 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels | 62c | 2,363$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.01 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Dignitas | 1c | 2,257$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Dignitas | 37c | 2,116$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.62 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels | 67c | 1,972$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.91 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Dignitas | 42c | 1,596$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.19 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…4db4backed Sentinels | 62c | 1,504$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Dignitas | 37c | 1,300$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 963 | 47.7%459 W · 504 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed Sentinels | 59c | 1,235$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Dignitas | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Dignitas | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sentinels | 64c | 898.38$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.77 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed Dignitas | 27c | 651.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Sentinels | 62c | 612.02$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…6528backed Sentinels | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Dignitas | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.95 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Dignitas | 33c | 366$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…4af5backed Dignitas | 36c | 340$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Sentinels | 71c | 300.64$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 408 | 51.7%211 W · 197 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Sentinels | 61c | 300$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…f78fbacked Sentinels | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…9c79backed Dignitas | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Dignitas | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Dignitas | 38c | 268.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Sentinels | 75c | 264.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Sentinels | 62c | 251.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Sentinels | 70c | 226.36$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Dignitas | 39c | 205.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Dignitas | 34c | 181.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…60fcbacked Sentinels | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Dignitas | 26c | 106.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Sentinels | 79c | 105.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Dignitas | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Dignitas | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 205 | 50.2%103 W · 102 L | +15.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Sentinels | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Sentinels | 62c | 96.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…22dcbacked Sentinels | 76c | 83.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Dignitas | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Sentinels | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Dignitas | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…aed1backed Sentinels | 62c | 54.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Sentinels | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Dignitas | 44c | 50.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Dignitas | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Dignitas | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed Sentinels | 64c | 43.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…9ab3backed Sentinels | 61c | 40.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked Dignitas | 40c | 33.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfa…1932backed Sentinels | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…011abacked Sentinels | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d12…d493backed Sentinels | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed Sentinels | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6557backed Sentinels | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…3f9bbacked Sentinels | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Sentinels | 66c | 17.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Sentinels | 68c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dignitas won
- First Blood in Game 2?Dignitas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.