TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof 76ers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,799,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,730,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,799,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Hornets56c349,777$195,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,901.8610049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets55c314,849$172,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,459.4687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked 76ers45c306,774$137,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,138.0951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed 76ers0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Hornets54c193,433$104,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,433.6821057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 76ers44c150,000$66,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,399.9659653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed 76ers43c125,000$53,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,749.9924650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1add…924abacked 76ers1c115,126$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed 76ers45c100,000$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,999.945350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets67c80,743$53,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,824.671,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed 76ers31c69,002$21,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,297.1439842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers46c68,738$31,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,532.361,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed 76ers46c65,217$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0009043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers43c61,435$26,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,634.82,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed 76ers45c51,657$23,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,231.0923257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed 76ers6c50,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb4…d892backed 76ers47c48,330$22,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,6003234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed 76ers0c47,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets56c42,912$24,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,694.5292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers44c38,334$16,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,741.85,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed 76ers47c27,687$13,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,012.860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed 76ers42c23,537$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers27c21,293$5,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,816.061,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Hornets54c20,194$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,194.117552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers44c20,160$8,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,870.41,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed 76ers46c19,000$8,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7404744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed 76ers31c17,411$5,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,466.512733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Hornets55c17,107$9,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,698.2820849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hornets58c15,979$9,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,726.761,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed 76ers45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers30c14,898$4,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,495.261,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf895…be08backed 76ers9c14,697$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.72425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Hornets54c14,686$7,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,755.5630845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets56c13,500$7,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.9758449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers44c13,223$5,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,870.533,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked Hornets54c13,111$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,031.112334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Hornets57c12,699$7,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,515.5214055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked 76ers42c12,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed 76ers42c12,000$5,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,087.9813148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets69c11,810$8,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,660.094,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets70c11,307$7,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.873,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Hornets54c10,833$5,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990.1319560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed 76ers15c10,519$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6273568.6%24 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers27c10,162$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.431,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Hornets56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed 76ers44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9819653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42f7…5b3ebacked 76ers43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.899038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.8945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Hornets56c9,821$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,321.2350241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets56c8,412$4,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Hornets61c8,384$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.3414751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked 76ers36c8,361$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers37c8,006$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dfa…63d5backed 76ers26c8,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+133.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets55c7,968$4,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,570.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hornets56c7,810$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.4255346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed 76ers46c7,500$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Hornets57c7,041$4,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.4820847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked 76ers29c7,028$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets54c6,790$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.42,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked 76ers42c6,767$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842.1313239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Hornets58c6,361$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.927758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers45c6,223$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.612,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65c1…c741backed 76ers0c6,031$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked 76ers29c6,020$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.142055%11 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+66.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed 76ers43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.9932039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed 76ers3c5,904$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6914924.8%37 W · 112 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hornets53c5,428$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.2528649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed 76ers1c5,395$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers39c5,386$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.672,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets54c5,109$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Hornets55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9618553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Hornets57c4,840$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.8839958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Hornets57c4,677$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.197850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked 76ers31c4,561$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.9916550.3%83 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets57c4,529$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed 76ers44c4,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked 76ers32c4,440$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.0746632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked 76ers1c4,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hornets56c4,000$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked 76ers44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Hornets62c3,987$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.1352460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed 76ers14c3,802$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed 76ers5c3,800$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.25129.4%15 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed 76ers44c3,745$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.61850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed 76ers42c3,611$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.628742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac87…88c7backed Hornets34c3,500$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3204134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…7edcbacked 76ers66c3,500$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3204365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092d…380dbacked Hornets57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed 76ers29c3,447$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.755738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Hornets55c3,446$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.125554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Hornets56c3,409$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.3861336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f0…7767backed Hornets57c3,400$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3bc…c824backed 76ers45c3,355$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Hornets54c3,282$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.9124151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Hornets57c3,250$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.4864139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Hornets55c3,236$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.3834654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed 76ers41c3,173$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3154334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers44c3,117$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.521,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Hornets55c3,048$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.7447048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.