TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$357,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Hornets46c40,000$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,599.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed 76ers54c16,068$8,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,676.4752460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked 76ers52c10,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets47c9,687$4,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,112.042,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked 76ers53c9,344$4,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,947.2110045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed 76ers0c9,324$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75b…c448backed Hornets49c7,219$3,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,681.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbd…e089backed Hornets49c6,922$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe696…ff6fbacked Hornets49c6,895$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,516.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8444…f35bbacked Hornets49c6,868$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe272…9486backed Hornets49c6,831$3,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,483.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ede…03aabacked Hornets49c6,776$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8da…972bbacked Hornets49c6,606$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,369.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x341c…4db3backed Hornets49c6,369$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1286…5559backed Hornets49c6,336$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,231.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…e150backed Hornets46c6,310$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…b27fbacked Hornets49c6,289$3,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,207.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe49…6119backed Hornets49c6,288$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9a…4b8abacked Hornets49c6,203$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,163.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb8…83ccbacked Hornets49c6,199$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e53…db1bbacked Hornets49c6,199$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e9…426abacked Hornets49c6,128$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b1…49e4backed Hornets49c6,124$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5998…7fc6backed Hornets49c5,563$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1e…7dabbacked 76ers51c5,479$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.29425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a3e…7deabacked Hornets49c5,454$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.54450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7def…a19abacked Hornets49c5,414$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f24…6fb8backed Hornets49c5,363$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.13475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad19…a660backed Hornets49c5,258$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db5…75cabacked Hornets49c5,206$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers50c5,170$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.171,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers53c5,033$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd181…e750backed 76ers51c4,970$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb174…707cbacked 76ers51c4,939$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers54c4,898$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.495,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers54c4,795$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets49c4,556$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.7792753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2198…dd9dbacked Hornets49c4,550$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf5…a74cbacked 76ers51c4,440$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf36d…0ebfbacked Hornets49c4,300$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5243…9e0abacked 76ers51c4,200$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd95b…0c36backed 76ers51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed 76ers55c3,863$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.721323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-53.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8041…8229backed 76ers51c3,696$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a11…5b11backed 76ers51c3,603$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.53520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers56c3,582$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…e9e1backed 76ers51c3,535$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.8540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd03e…c806backed 76ers51c3,515$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.65450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6635…bc8cbacked 76ers55c3,455$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986f…3dddbacked 76ers51c3,444$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.4440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ad0…e431backed 76ers51c3,414$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.0140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa093…0177backed 76ers51c3,414$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.1440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x196b…2738backed Hornets49c3,356$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c9…b7d1backed 76ers51c3,356$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de4…7d8fbacked 76ers51c3,355$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.0540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hornets48c3,332$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.561,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1113…0998backed 76ers51c3,323$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cfd…de4ebacked 76ers51c3,312$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.9140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…aa11backed 76ers51c3,306$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.06450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x382b…6669backed 76ers51c3,289$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd025…9563backed 76ers51c3,289$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb620…3eccbacked 76ers51c3,288$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c57…4fb1backed 76ers51c3,265$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.1540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f78…b60bbacked 76ers51c3,232$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a45…e47ebacked 76ers51c3,225$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda33…8092backed 76ers51c3,224$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5e…a91dbacked 76ers51c3,222$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7e…47fbbacked 76ers51c3,222$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…66d9backed 76ers51c3,215$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.65450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8216…1646backed 76ers51c3,202$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47c…0bd0backed Hornets45c3,192$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4efb…7d8dbacked 76ers51c3,175$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983f…0c6abacked 76ers51c3,143$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…2159backed 76ers51c3,136$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.3640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ad0…9d26backed 76ers54c3,133$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6735…8380backed 76ers51c3,124$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.2450%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1e9…8c5abacked 76ers51c3,111$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf8…126dbacked 76ers51c3,077$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf235…7448backed 76ers51c3,063$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.1340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94d7…e34bbacked 76ers51c3,009$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d2b…4f66backed 76ers51c3,003$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1392…f761backed 76ers51c2,998$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e2…2c81backed Hornets45c2,881$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.81275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers52c2,740$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f2…61b7backed 76ers54c2,725$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.560%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe45d…12babacked Hornets49c2,652$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a40…23b6backed Hornets49c2,622$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c1…03bebacked 76ers51c2,622$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.2240%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf97…ccc8backed 76ers51c2,585$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa640…d9bbbacked 76ers54c2,585$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf6…c50fbacked 76ers51c2,579$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d39…f17ebacked Hornets49c2,574$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.74450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a8…b4afbacked Hornets49c2,574$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.744100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54d7…1627backed Hornets49c2,574$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.74450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c06…f442backed 76ers51c2,574$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.74450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a0…f9f1backed Hornets49c2,566$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f5…dc16backed Hornets49c2,565$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ae…b65bbacked 76ers51c2,563$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa471…3c1abacked Hornets49c2,563$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…6ad0backed 76ers51c2,563$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.