TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,082 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c414$179 inLost-$178.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…24c2backed Under63c235.99$148 inWon+$87.571553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon+$10031249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1add…924abacked Over41c147.47$60 inLost-$60.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a0…616bbacked Under74c102.83$76 inWon+$26.883100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Under62c100$62 inWon+$387538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9e2…3000backed Under70c68.57$48 inWon+$20.574744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Under53c50$27 inWon+$23.51984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.9wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd687…af84backed Under71c40$28 inWon+$11.6560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c35$18 inWon+$17.537665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over38c32.84$12 inLost-$12.481330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under51c30.48$16 inWon+$14.935858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Under70c18.75$13 inWon+$5.6313050.8%66 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.