TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,603,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,665,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,603,201 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Hornets52c1,192,234$614,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577,942.610049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed 76ers48c639,341$309,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309,623.471,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed 76ers48c133,337$64,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,001.766352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked 76ers48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,00051844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers49c60,140$29,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,467.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 76ers49c60,000$29,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,40059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Hornets49c60,000$29,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,599.9640446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed 76ers49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked 76ers49c44,665$21,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,888.0619560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers49c42,623$21,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,078.412,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed 76ers51c20,000$10,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,190.41850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked 76ers51c19,608$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed 76ers51c19,492$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0007552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers49c18,027$8,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,864.969,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb62…abbdbacked Hornets51c14,600$7,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,1542259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb9…2396backed 76ers49c14,600$7,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1542864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5565…6448backed 76ers52c14,409$7,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,492.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed 76ers52c12,499$6,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.2220744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers50c12,035$5,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,967.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58e5…cf86backed Hornets48c11,788$5,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.5887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick50cpaid+74.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Hornets50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed 76ers51c9,563$4,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,87712454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x197b…a6b0backed Hornets48c8,939$4,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,648.281361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4660…32e7backed 76ers51c8,325$4,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,246540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked 76ers51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,57045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers48c6,970$3,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.076,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…c1f3backed 76ers47c5,600$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x497e…8233backed Hornets53c5,450$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb67c…7a75backed Hornets53c5,400$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdace…016fbacked 76ers47c5,250$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Hornets51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45010553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6e…173dbacked 76ers47c4,866$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.0240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d92…24d5backed Hornets53c4,700$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8663…b890backed 76ers47c4,450$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fa…ff68backed 76ers47c4,387$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.8940%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Hornets48c4,338$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.651346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets52c4,240$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.2245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb194…7ac3backed 76ers51c4,216$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers53c4,052$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.91,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers51c4,037$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked 76ers0c3,850$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c3…7829backed 76ers47c3,755$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1421…f12bbacked Hornets53c3,358$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked 76ers48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50027747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed 76ers49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8041…8229backed 76ers47c2,806$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa093…0177backed 76ers47c2,725$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.7540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6735…8380backed 76ers47c2,717$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.9950%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x986f…3dddbacked 76ers47c2,717$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.9940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2de4…7d8fbacked 76ers47c2,707$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.2940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd025…9563backed 76ers47c2,666$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffa3…c1febacked Hornets53c2,611$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd19d…789fbacked Hornets53c2,584$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…2159backed 76ers47c2,525$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.7540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ad0…e431backed 76ers47c2,524$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cfd…de4ebacked 76ers47c2,515$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.0540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x382b…6669backed 76ers47c2,488$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a11…5b11backed 76ers47c2,323$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.81520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c10…e249backed 76ers47c2,250$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…2738backed Hornets53c2,245$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c9…b7d1backed 76ers47c2,245$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda33…8092backed 76ers47c2,233$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed 76ers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1e…7dabbacked Hornets53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed 76ers51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…aa11backed Hornets53c1,828$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040b…f8a0backed 76ers50c1,763$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.552356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a45…e47ebacked Hornets53c1,717$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb620…3eccbacked Hornets53c1,673$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.31450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7e…47fbbacked Hornets53c1,636$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1392…f761backed Hornets53c1,626$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.22450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c57…4fb1backed 76ers47c1,584$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.4840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1e9…8c5abacked Hornets53c1,545$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf8…126dbacked Hornets53c1,525$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03e…c806backed Hornets53c1,525$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f78…b60bbacked Hornets53c1,505$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…4f66backed 76ers47c1,434$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…66d9backed Hornets53c1,424$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983f…0c6abacked Hornets53c1,423$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5e…a91dbacked Hornets53c1,414$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4efb…7d8dbacked Hornets53c1,414$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.39450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b9…e9e1backed 76ers47c1,349$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.0340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8216…1646backed Hornets53c1,323$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.81450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1113…0998backed Hornets53c1,323$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…7448backed 76ers47c1,273$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.3140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a3e…7deabacked Hornets53c1,257$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.79450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8da…972bbacked Hornets53c1,212$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe49…6119backed Hornets53c1,155$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…e34bbacked Hornets53c1,144$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcf…dff4backed Hornets48c1,132$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.411747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Hornets48c1,111$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7243543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1286…5559backed Hornets53c1,102$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed 76ers50c1,082$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.1336351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb8…83ccbacked Hornets53c1,066$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed 76ers51c1,065$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.7235747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x199b…75bdbacked Hornets53c1,025$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.