TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$247,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over57c27,377$15,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,689.3221057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c22,670$9,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,841.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20f7…c804backed Over55c9,449$5,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,197.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb325…f1b5backed Under47c5,800$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b2…07a8backed Under47c5,550$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf682…c236backed Under47c5,477$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,902.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79f6…75d3backed Under47c5,393$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x199b…75bdbacked Under47c5,355$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d58…875ebacked Under47c5,167$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee77…f3e9backed Under47c5,104$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,705.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a84…e19bbacked Over53c4,800$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over1c4,735$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.561,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…b429backed Over54c4,589$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.0640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x723d…4208backed Under47c4,400$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under43c4,302$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.1347856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3e…b1c9backed Over53c4,215$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a9…346abacked Under47c4,200$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9174…a5b6backed Under47c4,200$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…66d9backed Under47c4,155$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c4,061$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ac9…d069backed Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d30…602bbacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efb…7d8dbacked Under47c3,788$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1113…0998backed Under47c3,723$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Over1c3,684$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.432240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x194f…6ad0backed Over53c3,456$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…977fbacked Over53c3,452$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa268…5105backed Over53c3,423$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e9…8c5abacked Under47c3,414$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f0…5766backed Under47c3,352$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1392…f761backed Under47c3,338$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9522…9692backed Over53c3,321$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Under45c3,244$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.4417162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb41…03e7backed Under47c3,152$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…9023backed Under47c3,125$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd03e…c806backed Under47c3,022$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.66450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2b…4f66backed Over53c3,016$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under41c3,007$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.293,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c57…4fb1backed Over53c2,973$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.6940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x262f…535cbacked Under47c2,963$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d39…f17ebacked Under47c2,956$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ced…1ea6backed Over53c2,951$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf8…126dbacked Under47c2,900$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a40…23b6backed Under47c2,855$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c1…03bebacked Over53c2,855$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.1540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e5e…a91dbacked Under47c2,844$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…a8d6backed Over53c2,825$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…e34bbacked Under47c2,821$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2f…8dedbacked Over53c2,812$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8216…1646backed Under47c2,811$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a2…b4efbacked Under46c2,764$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd59e…87fabacked Under46c2,728$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6735…8380backed Over53c2,711$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.8350%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd025…9563backed Over53c2,700$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over56c2,670$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.7513239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31b9…e9e1backed Over53c2,655$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.1540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ec…3814backed Over53c2,653$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x983f…0c6abacked Under47c2,645$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x564c…50aebacked Under47c2,621$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.13785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+69%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7000…9800backed Under47c2,612$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.36450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad0…e431backed Over53c2,606$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.1840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d5c…813dbacked Over53c2,585$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb550…4be7backed Under47c2,574$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36b9…50e9backed Under47c2,574$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ae…b65bbacked Under47c2,566$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x966d…e768backed Under47c2,566$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc06d…7d35backed Over53c2,566$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9aea…5ad6backed Over53c2,560$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa94f…4249backed Over54c2,559$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.86450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d7…1627backed Over53c2,556$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c5…6fd6backed Over53c2,553$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74af…86f5backed Under47c2,550$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a24…d934backed Over53c2,545$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901c…6010backed Under47c2,542$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…f71ebacked Under47c2,537$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fba…ff46backed Over53c2,536$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c91…8852backed Under47c2,534$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf97…ccc8backed Over53c2,523$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32a0…f9f1backed Over53c2,522$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x337b…81d4backed Under47c2,456$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa471…3c1abacked Under47c2,452$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7e…47fbbacked Under47c2,445$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f78…b60bbacked Under47c2,414$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…2159backed Over53c2,414$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.4240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c2,401$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.412,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1825…a2ccbacked Under47c2,380$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c2,371$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.362,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36d…8082backed Under47c2,352$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x955c…9938backed Over53c2,322$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cfd…de4ebacked Over53c2,313$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.8940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2de4…7d8fbacked Over53c2,303$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.5940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf235…7448backed Over53c2,196$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.8840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c06…f442backed Under47c2,154$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.62450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f5…dc16backed Under47c2,055$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8864…55d4backed Over53c2,053$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd8…c08ebacked Under47c2,052$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…9974backed Over53c2,052$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x210c…b84abacked Over53c2,044$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc66e…4e50backed Under47c2,042$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.