NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10522583b46c5fe9aa08737080e4b0f5f0d5deb6dfaa7d4805f0189f343e4008
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 53c | 148,446$78,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,073.36 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,799.98 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Under | 48c | 47,000$22,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,440 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 49c | 41,000$20,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,910 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 40,380$18,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,603.54 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 52c | 35,878$18,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,656.65 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 35,287$16,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,431.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 8,390$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 5,722$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.45 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 50c | 2,920$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 2,552$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 2,078$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.06 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 49c | 1,963$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 1,553$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.54 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 50c | 1,111$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.32 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 1,086$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.59 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e5…cf86backed Under | 50c | 886$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 48c | 831.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 491.38$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.52 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 458.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.31 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 9c | 368.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 273.33$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…8a17backed Under | 52c | 219.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 192.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 48c | 176.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Over | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 133.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 49c | 119.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 55c | 90.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…d6a8backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 43.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 54c | 42.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0318…2fe5backed Under | 48c | 40.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Under | 47c | 37.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…5211backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Over | 53c | 33.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Under | 51c | 32.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 49c | 23.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5this page
- 76ers vs. HornetsHornets won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 218.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 219.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 30.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.