TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over55c79,341$43,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,403.921057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20f7…c804backed Over53c60,000$31,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under47c49,228$23,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,090.917554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c32,468$14,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,589.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under45c21,820$9,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0011,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Under46c18,600$8,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,04411653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c15,000$6,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1304,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Under46c14,957$6,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,091.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+71.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under46c12,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4805534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c11,465$6,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,189.42,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Over52c8,388$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4003148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over52c6,767$3,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.5713239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c4,367$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.623,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under48c2,744$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.7524450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c2,470$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over19c2,281$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.41,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c2,245$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.91,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6641649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over55c2,106$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.452,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Under47c2,048$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.417646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over52c1,442$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,363$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.535,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under47c1,357$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.4542648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under46c1,338$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.4418241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over5c1,092$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.351,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8348546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over53c1,038$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over54c1,020$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.6756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under47c992.06$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.013,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under57c968$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.2822643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c913.06$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.422,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf86…7d31backed Over49c836.43$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.37922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c800.01$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.913,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43218743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c747$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.852,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under47c633.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8732150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c569.94$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.772,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Under47c510.64$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6416945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Over37c486.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under46c480.41$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.7826638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c458.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under43c417.88$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.493,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over59c339.94$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2826640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c327.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.593,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Over16c326.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1528616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under45c323.22$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7729352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c310.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.623,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under54c310$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.41,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1598744.8%39 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf632…02aabacked Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Under62c296.62$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.135855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under54c278.32$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.813,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13528348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under72c249$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8330840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Under46c221.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.796756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c219.15$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under46c218.92$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3643244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7714652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…7e16backed Over52c210.1$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Under79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.822045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9924946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over45c196.91$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.733,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over47c167.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.916539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c129.02$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.672,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c128.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.412,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x230f…6869backed Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fb…5623backed Under64c113.02$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c110.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.451,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5147738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over38c83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8633554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under46c66.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2466646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0318…2fe5backed Under46c63.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.382055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under48c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.568355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over55c52.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0645651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Over32c48.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.552240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f30…9977backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb4…5c6bbacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd7a…d212backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…2bd0backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cb…6b5dbacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x617d…82dcbacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.971,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Under46c43.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.59745.4%44 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over55c43.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6122655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…24bebacked Under46c42.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.14429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.