TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65c1…c741

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 60 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$27.7
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (W)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$30.96
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+59%+$8.88
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks (W)backed Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+36.5%+$9.35
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+102.7%+$15.2
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.3
Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.7%+$15.04
Jackson State Tigers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.6%+$5.1
Murray State Racers vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.4%+$22.49
Brown Bears vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.7%+$10.22
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hofstra Pride (W)backed Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+139.4%+$42.74
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Kansas City Roosbacked South Dakota Coyotes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+143%+$18.59
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+195%+$25.35
Akron Zips vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.3%+$5.18
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+27.3%+$4.1
Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25.7%+$21.85
Jackson State Tigers vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Florida A&M Rattlers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$65.2
Louisville Cardinals vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$17.5
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.7%+$42.61
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.32
Washington State Cougars vs. San Diego Torerosbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.6%+$16.39
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.23
Celtics vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.5%+$10.28
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+36.7%+$22.04
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$90
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Sao Leopoldo: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Facundo Acostabacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Credit One Charleston Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Sao Leopoldo: Maximo Zeitune vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$6.43
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.9
Set 1 Winner: Volynets vs Boulterbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Ostrava Open: Fiona Ferro vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+52.3%+$23.61
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Alexandra Ealabacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$94.45
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+37%+$25.89
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+55.7%+$16.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Rostik999 vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Abacked Team Rostik999 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG" debut at #1 in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.