Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe14106bee1d38623278ece3ed0bba9745a98f1d99eb7c96d2d83e1c8f766e5df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercyhurst Lakersof Chicago State Cougars, Mercyhurst Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 13,429$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 1,500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 1,428$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.28 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chicago State Cougars | 23c | 1,396$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.23 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Chicago State Cougars | 26c | 1,355$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.7 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Chicago State Cougars | 17c | 1,250$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Chicago State Cougars | 34c | 1,235$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.43 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 1,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Chicago State Cougars | 17c | 899.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chicago State Cougars | 21c | 891.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Chicago State Cougars | 20c | 721.54$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…91c2backed Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 721.27$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Chicago State Cougars | 21c | 697$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 80c | 558.47$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 553.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago State Cougars | 24c | 549.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.35 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 544.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 77c | 500.01$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 469.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 400.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 387.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago State Cougars | 15c | 362.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Chicago State Cougars | 14c | 346.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Chicago State Cougars | 17c | 316.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156d…a4ecbacked Chicago State Cougars | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 292$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 77c | 276.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf8…3397backed Chicago State Cougars | 15c | 239.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Chicago State Cougars | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…c741backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 78c | 196.18$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 194.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Chicago State Cougars | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 185$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1220backed Chicago State Cougars | 14c | 176.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…64c4backed Chicago State Cougars | 27c | 154.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…4fd2backed Chicago State Cougars | 15c | 149.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Chicago State Cougars | 15c | 145$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 78c | 103.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…3e21backed Chicago State Cougars | 11c | 102.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Chicago State Cougars | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chicago State Cougars | 20c | 70.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Chicago State Cougars | 21c | 69.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Chicago State Cougars | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…c0a7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 76c | 64.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked Chicago State Cougars | 20c | 61.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Chicago State Cougars | 19c | 60.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…eeefbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 68c | 58.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 73c | 28.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 66c | 28.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…5d3dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 79c | 25.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakersthis page
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 130.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 131.5Under won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-9.5)Chicago State Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.