Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbc275330413e4220ad7ca1b45248783b4b21f2bc980335ae1e45b6ddd5940b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago State Cougarsof Mercyhurst Lakers, Chicago State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Chicago State Cougars | 51c | 7,265$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.19 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 2,373$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 2,017$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 52c | 1,428$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.66 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 50c | 970$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.27 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 498.83$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.44 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Chicago State Cougars | 45c | 235$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 207.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Chicago State Cougars | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 43c | 103$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Chicago State Cougars | 51c | 30.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Chicago State Cougars | 51c | 26.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 23.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 21.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-9.5)this page
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst LakersMercyhurst Lakers won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 130.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 131.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.