Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 130.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464f8f226e4761690064d7b429c663960759c2dc80dab750eb90c61aae5ebedd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Over | 53c | 9,102$4,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,838.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 52c | 8,048$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.81 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 6,453$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 53c | 5,659$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,481$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 2,356$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.97 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 805.88$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.58 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 47c | 500.02$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.44 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 53c | 237.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 213.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 51c | 132.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Under | 50c | 119$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 100.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 47c | 98.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 47.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Under | 50c | 42.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb1…6740backed Over | 49c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 48c | 29.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Under | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Under | 55c | 27.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…9ed1backed Under | 52c | 23.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 130.5this page
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst LakersMercyhurst Lakers won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 131.5Under won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-9.5)Chicago State Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.