TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,379,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,404,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,379,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c677,794$323,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354,730.689860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over53c548,727$292,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292,318.8335945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over51c353,109$180,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180,084.869142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over54c240,910$130,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,091.521754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Under46c220,136$101,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,879.032653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under47c200,000$94,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,0004454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over53c121,605$64,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,449.5489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c45,000$21,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,35090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over57c43,701$24,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,872.7712754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c43,154$20,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,172.411,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under46c25,000$11,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under45c20,000$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,1005354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under43c17,345$7,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,889.9921262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c16,133$7,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,607.545,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under44c14,000$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,839.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+79.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over55c11,124$6,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,118.478246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9613649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Under45c9,350$4,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,148.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under48c7,099$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,711.096758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under46c7,000$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,78012054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over56c6,021$3,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,383.2516954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c4,469$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.5712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Under43c4,081$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under49c3,049$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.9813154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59011347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.939744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under44c2,948$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.887245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under45c2,777$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.4315748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Over54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under45c2,311$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.574152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under43c2,149$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.165759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Over58c1,732$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over57c1,403$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.4518844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Under43c1,267$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.199051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Under47c1,165$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.4515453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over56c1,067$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c1,043$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.5540755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under45c952.84$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.061,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Under43c773.2$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.354055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over57c730.01$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4155959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Over51c684.34$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.017234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under47c643.53$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under43c570$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.984147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c522.5$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9289850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under47c509.15$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7525544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under47c504.36$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3122953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under44c499.94$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9738645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c360.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.474,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under46c355.32$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3226254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under43c343$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.734266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over54c313.63$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.369543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Over57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9e2…3000backed Under45c253.08$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.181478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick51cpaid+55.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.511946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over56c240.91$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.918750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over57c236.11$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5611159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2718851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2717950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2750546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under46c215.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4921443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under47c211.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.213444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over76c207.92$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c207.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.94,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over48c205.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.513531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Over54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.75642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over56c204.46$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.517258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under50c199.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2519555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under44c181.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7811449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a39…031abacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over58c173.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Over56c172.32$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.52755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over58c172$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7613851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over67c170$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.215156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over53c132.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.324660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c123.71$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.334,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over76c117.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under25c112$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8440252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dde…b1aebacked Under47c110.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54d…8649backed Over57c110.35$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+395.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Over75c103.01$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.51,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under51c89.52$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2619653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Over56c87.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.973161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Over57c85.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.155950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Over56c84.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.144951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.