CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs magic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf5c1d9f7f0c812abebc920eea47ae82928c8e0359903024da5154720e966584
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof Sinners, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sinners | 58c | 310$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sinners | 24c | 261.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…281fbacked magic | 41c | 256$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…f3b3backed Sinners | 59c | 254$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b20…fd49backed Sinners | 59c | 252$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…c3edbacked magic | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 56c | 249.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked magic | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Sinners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…af16backed magic | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed magic | 77c | 147.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sinners | 35c | 112.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked magic | 74c | 108.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed magic | 57c | 99.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinners | 33c | 91.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Sinners | 35c | 86.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Sinners | 58c | 77.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed magic | 69c | 68.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked magic | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…c741backed magic | 62c | 59.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sinners | 45c | 56.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed magic | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Sinners | 39c | 49.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed magic | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed magic | 65c | 41.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Sinners | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed magic | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sinners | 52c | 36.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Sinners | 48c | 23.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed magic | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 41 | 85.4%35 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…6135backed magic | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.