TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Brown Bears vs. Yale Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yale Bulldogsof Brown Bears, Yale Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb729…4e2ebacked Brown Bears40c11,298$4,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,474.578544.7%38 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Brown Bears31c9,657$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.21442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yale Bulldogs74c8,800$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.5416056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Brown Bears25c5,676$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.411,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yale Bulldogs67c5,390$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.522,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yale Bulldogs68c3,698$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.63,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Yale Bulldogs74c2,970$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.9116350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yale Bulldogs71c2,633$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.355,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yale Bulldogs69c2,600$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.51,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Brown Bears24c2,369$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.188817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6756…8edcbacked Brown Bears10c2,027$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Brown Bears7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Brown Bears18c1,934$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.812,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0f…69ccbacked Brown Bears9c1,862$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Brown Bears29c1,795$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.178737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Brown Bears27c1,502$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yale Bulldogs61c1,309$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.781,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Brown Bears33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40094036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Brown Bears1c913$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.142,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Brown Bears49c846.81$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Yale Bulldogs70c800$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.843450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Brown Bears8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Brown Bears9c683$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4775447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Yale Bulldogs62c681.53$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.415141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2174…fad8backed Brown Bears7c632.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Brown Bears49c631.53$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3855840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yale Bulldogs49c466$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.6631646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Brown Bears8c437.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yale Bulldogs69c436.98$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.563,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brown Bears38c424.44$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Brown Bears48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.585855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8398…749abacked Brown Bears16c400$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.341414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-75.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yale Bulldogs60c392$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2222050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Brown Bears39c382.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbaf6…f907backed Brown Bears9c337.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Brown Bears31c318$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.569259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf60d…0cccbacked Brown Bears7c311.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Brown Bears7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yale Bulldogs57c288.48$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5336845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Yale Bulldogs58c266$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9372248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Brown Bears10c263.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2742339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e82…47d5backed Brown Bears8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yale Bulldogs56c239.04$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.821,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Brown Bears27c235.34$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.229525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Yale Bulldogs59c221.26$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.612,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Brown Bears10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yale Bulldogs60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80419.8%4 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-83.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…f17dbacked Brown Bears27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.24316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x946f…163bbacked Brown Bears10c194.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Brown Bears7c192$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Brown Bears9c163.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2737835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brown Bears15c162$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.831,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Brown Bears18c155.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3219332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Brown Bears28c155.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6157655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Brown Bears9c144.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.685,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Brown Bears17c143.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Brown Bears9c141.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Yale Bulldogs72c139.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.678362.7%52 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yale Bulldogs72c139.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.141850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc916…2ee5backed Yale Bulldogs56c129.95$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.442227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Brown Bears9c127$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4360548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc12…05f2backed Brown Bears8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Brown Bears16c123.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yale Bulldogs63c122.71$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.311,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f8…6dcebacked Brown Bears29c121.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Brown Bears31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.883,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Yale Bulldogs72c104.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.33464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Yale Bulldogs67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yale Bulldogs59c95.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.831,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yale Bulldogs77c90.15$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.091,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3422…cd99backed Brown Bears33c88.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.032060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yale Bulldogs59c83.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.42,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Brown Bears33c79.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.114,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Brown Bears25c76.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.899848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb253…6575backed Brown Bears42c73.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.76850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yale Bulldogs72c69.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.544877.1%37 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x98fe…a984backed Brown Bears29c68.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fb…b328backed Brown Bears30c52.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75530.9%17 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yale Bulldogs73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.651,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yale Bulldogs72c46.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e97…1481backed Brown Bears45c44.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202572%18 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Brown Bears47c42.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202536%9 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yale Bulldogs71c40.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.541,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9869…e817backed Yale Bulldogs56c36.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.221957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5818…a4bebacked Yale Bulldogs73c33.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-72.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb723…9129backed Yale Bulldogs66c30.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Yale Bulldogs59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+123.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65c1…c741backed Yale Bulldogs66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x938e…2ee3backed Yale Bulldogs55c25.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.532176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07b2…56febacked Yale Bulldogs59c25.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…abb4backed Yale Bulldogs66c24.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.271957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Yale Bulldogs73c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.712540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Yale Bulldogs74c14.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.76956.5%39 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.