Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Brown Bears vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eb3bcaa804fbde9ab197bd737924b817d54e0b1cbcce61af5e3014f8cfbb944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 25,459$12,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,219.97 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 52c | 14,377$7,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,926.07 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Over | 52c | 9,482$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 48c | 5,179$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.79 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 49c | 4,771$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.79 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 4,771$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.79 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 3,837$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 55c | 1,824$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.09 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 1,172$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.58 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 56c | 1,014$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.47 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 987$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.88 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Under | 46c | 345$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 47c | 294.81$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 173.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…2108backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…99cdbacked Over | 51c | 40.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 35c | 36.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…8a41backed Under | 55c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brown Bears vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 139.5this page
- Brown Bears vs. Yale BulldogsYale Bulldogs won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-14.5)Brown Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.