TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb723…9129

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST7459.5%44 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Metepec: Alexis Galarneau vs Cannon Kingsleybacked Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Qatar Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
New Delhi: Oliver Crawford vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+37%+$5.87
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Ealabacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Lille: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Clement Chidekhbacked Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37%+$5.35
Les Sables d'Olonne: Fiona Ferro vs Lucrezia Stefaninibacked Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Magda Linette vs Clara Tausonbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.04
Rio Open: Jaime Faria vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lille: Filip Misolic vs Martin Landalucebacked Misolic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lille: Arthur Bouquier vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Qatar Open: Ugo Humbert vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Paula Badosa vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Qatar Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+137.3%+$20.59
New Delhi: Philip Sekulic vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+65.9%+$9.89
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wongbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Les Sables d'Olonne: Sofia Costoulas vs Chloe Paquetbacked Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanubacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Lulu Sun vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Qatar Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jan Choinskibacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Dayana Yastremska vs Janice Tjenbacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST7047.1%33 W · 37 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+57.8%+$31.81
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+86.2%+$21.55
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+27.6%+$45.48
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+43.6%+$45.8
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+48.6%+$113.78
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+50.7%+$7.61
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.2%+$39.06
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.2%+$10.38
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah vs. Starsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Canadiens vs. Utahbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.96
Oilers vs. Lightningbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brown Bears vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.7%+$10.33
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+89.2%+$13.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+138.1%+$41.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.