Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Filip Misolic vs Martin Landaluce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad3cf67ed177d329486fbf0d7ca1d38b75ac4812bee9354b640851755fb9e474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Landaluceof Misolic, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Landaluce | 78c | 2,420$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.03 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Misolic | 20c | 1,249$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.21 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misolic | 24c | 827.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Landaluce | 65c | 774.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Misolic | 40c | 599.89$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…a021backed Misolic | 19c | 522.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Misolic | 11c | 439.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Misolic | 38c | 424.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Misolic | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Misolic | 36c | 299.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Landaluce | 61c | 215$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Misolic | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Misolic | 14c | 187.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Misolic | 9c | 167.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Misolic | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Landaluce | 63c | 125.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Landaluce | 63c | 114.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70a…7201backed Landaluce | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Landaluce | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Landaluce | 59c | 78.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…0a58backed Landaluce | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Misolic | 33c | 60.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Misolic | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed Misolic | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Misolic | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Landaluce | 54c | 45.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Landaluce | 75c | 41.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Landaluce | 56c | 41.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Landaluce | 58c | 41.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Landaluce | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Landaluce | 66c | 39.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…9129backed Misolic | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…ed63backed Landaluce | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…159ebacked Landaluce | 76c | 25.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Landaluce | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Landaluce | 67c | 19.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb874…c7aabacked Landaluce | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.