NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x204eac4c4786826d55610d4289028d4aea2bedb4e7da8fd66c0e36143361668b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Blackhawks, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,172,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,237,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,172,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 931 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blackhawks | 26c | 200,000$51,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,249.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 142,576$108,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,534.1 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks | 77c | 110,143$85,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,104.93 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 68,889$29,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,824.17 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 32,263$20,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,314.83 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks | 35c | 27,147$9,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,473.25 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 24,241$15,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,390.54 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 22,868$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,868.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 72c | 21,969$15,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,109.09 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 19,000$12,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…46f4backed Blackhawks | 35c | 19,000$6,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,559.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…9ea9backed Blackhawks | 34c | 19,000$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blackhawks | 35c | 15,559$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.06 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Maple Leafs | 14c | 15,416$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,211.01 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Blackhawks | 35c | 15,110$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,288.41 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 14,842$9,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.44 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 14,736$9,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.55 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 12,000$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Blackhawks | 36c | 11,622$4,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,183.41 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…6b1fbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 10,600$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d66…9dbebacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 10,500$6,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 10,436$6,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…cc7bbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 10,200$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa6…bfb1backed Blackhawks | 35c | 9,200$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…9899backed Blackhawks | 35c | 9,200$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…bd0dbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 9,001$5,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Blackhawks | 36c | 8,241$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.61 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…72b5backed Blackhawks | 35c | 7,700$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 6,507$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.86 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 6,153$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.55 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…f142backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blackhawks | 35c | 5,722$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.98 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 5,659$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 5,418$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.13 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 5,174$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.5 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks | 50c | 5,075$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…7ee1backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.96 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Blackhawks | 33c | 4,995$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.33 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 4,909$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 4,362$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.54 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 4,251$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.94 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…1ff7backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 4,200$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…1634backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 3,541$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.2 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…76cfbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 3,380$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…1dccbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 3,380$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 3,333$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.54 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks | 34c | 3,082$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.74 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Blackhawks | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 2,807$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.38 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…747cbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 2,773$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…da55backed Blackhawks | 35c | 2,700$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c5…0688backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…3de7backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…7ca4backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…e480backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…99dcbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,490$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f17…d2f7backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,490$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…fcaabacked Blackhawks | 36c | 2,490$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…9595backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,490$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b6…5476backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,490$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…0bf3backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,490$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…8acdbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 2,490$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…3253backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,490$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x609c…8083backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,480$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…7269backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,480$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd4…7aedbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 2,480$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…3f0dbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,480$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Blackhawks | 35c | 2,474$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.07 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…6dabbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 2,470$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…67aabacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,470$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd1…78efbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 2,470$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…69cebacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,470$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…37a4backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,470$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6042…141fbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,470$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f2…2608backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,470$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…3596backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,470$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…f15abacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,460$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…d117backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,460$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…4a00backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,450$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa61…417cbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,450$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7282…fc68backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,450$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…baefbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 2,450$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…08b1backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,440$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…fc8cbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,440$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…5f21backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,440$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…cc7ebacked Blackhawks | 36c | 2,440$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…37fcbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 2,430$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcd…6bc3backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,430$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…e273backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,430$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…d5a3backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,430$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…f1e2backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,420$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245a…e560backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,420$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…4846backed Blackhawks | 36c | 2,420$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…8b98backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,420$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…f87cbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 2,420$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.