NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5e0e2932d545ecebad0903a0f9640ba40674282d46f7cc566edf9ce86200cc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Over | 52c | 32,000$16,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Under | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d1…6c1cbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Over | 2c | 2,700$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 2,617$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 47c | 1,592$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.3 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under | 47c | 521.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.65 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 53c | 474.82$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.65 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 39c | 212.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5db1…f716backed Over | 52c | 117.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…2502backed Under | 48c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…4c78backed Under | 48c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…a621backed Over | 68c | 53.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda7a…d321backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 34.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked Over | 53c | 31.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Over | 52c | 29.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…4f13backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Over | 51c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs won
- Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.