TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Maple Leafs, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,20056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Blackhawks59c17,723$10,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,266.4379350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Blackhawks58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2002850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs42c7,760$3,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,259.2338748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Blackhawks59c3,300$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35322550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Blackhawks60c2,341$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.753951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks59c1,950$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked Maple Leafs41c1,923$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.2360%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Maple Leafs42c1,064$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.8248452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d9…ca67backed Maple Leafs48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Blackhawks52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48018237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0370…5ca5backed Maple Leafs43c900$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs45c686$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.091,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Maple Leafs41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs41c466.03$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.022,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Maple Leafs41c456.33$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7611933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x623c…dde0backed Maple Leafs45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Maple Leafs9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361513.3%2 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Maple Leafs41c367.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8847051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Blackhawks59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9839649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf74b…da84backed Blackhawks57c330$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3836…6f7abacked Blackhawks57c310$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb39…83d3backed Blackhawks57c260$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Maple Leafs45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006363.5%40 W · 23 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Maple Leafs44c214.8$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5111252.7%59 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Maple Leafs40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023249.1%114 W · 118 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Maple Leafs40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8079251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Maple Leafs9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18290%0 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Blackhawks57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Maple Leafs41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.53953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Maple Leafs40c132.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0447249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Maple Leafs40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4848149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Blackhawks57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.35251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Maple Leafs42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4257238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Blackhawks57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4329551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Maple Leafs44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448647.7%41 W · 45 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Maple Leafs43c97.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Maple Leafs42c92.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9524442.6%104 W · 140 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Blackhawks59c90$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.94643.5%20 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Blackhawks59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.754452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks58c82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4488151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Maple Leafs40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3226348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Maple Leafs40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3227148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Blackhawks56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Maple Leafs40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2826448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Blackhawks57c69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.674454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Blackhawks57c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.384050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Maple Leafs42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112649.2%62 W · 64 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Blackhawks57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.072070%14 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Maple Leafs43c47.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.375742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7307…b257backed Maple Leafs43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb34…93a5backed Maple Leafs43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Maple Leafs44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks56c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…db2dbacked Maple Leafs44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Maple Leafs44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2069653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Blackhawks57c42.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2535248%169 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Maple Leafs44c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4862944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Blackhawks57c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.633655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Maple Leafs40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Maple Leafs40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620447.5%97 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Maple Leafs40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613046.2%60 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Maple Leafs40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619848.5%96 W · 102 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Maple Leafs40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619442.8%83 W · 111 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Maple Leafs40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618946%87 W · 102 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Maple Leafs40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619745.2%89 W · 108 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Maple Leafs40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620045.5%91 W · 109 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Maple Leafs40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617249.4%85 W · 87 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8146…8922backed Maple Leafs44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Maple Leafs43c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.341637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Blackhawks57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0913246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Blackhawks57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Maple Leafs41c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.942142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf7…5e63backed Blackhawks59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Blackhawks59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Blackhawks60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.339452.1%49 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Blackhawks56c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.522948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Blackhawks59c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.124938.8%19 W · 30 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Maple Leafs41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.122236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Maple Leafs43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.332060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd575…2636backed Maple Leafs42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Blackhawks57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.948161.3%295 W · 186 L+21.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Blackhawks57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.98458.3%49 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Maple Leafs43c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.471450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Maple Leafs42c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Maple Leafs43c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Blackhawks57c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.613046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Maple Leafs43c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.612653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Blackhawks57c26.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5749045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Maple Leafs43c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.182254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Maple Leafs41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.259048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7c…1214backed Maple Leafs44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x824d…9362backed Maple Leafs42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x301e…8fddbacked Blackhawks58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Blackhawks57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.742740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Blackhawks59c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.381,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4254…b8d2backed Blackhawks58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.