NHL · resolved market
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60156471012909536e6122475ced6f7f70b843ea597429347a2e642baa7a6fe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Maple Leafs, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Blackhawks | 59c | 17,723$10,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,266.43 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Blackhawks | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 7,760$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.23 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Blackhawks | 59c | 3,300$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Blackhawks | 60c | 2,341$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,923$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,064$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.82 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…5ca5backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 686$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 466.03$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.02 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 456.33$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Maple Leafs | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 367.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Blackhawks | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…da84backed Blackhawks | 57c | 330$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…6f7abacked Blackhawks | 57c | 310$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…83d3backed Blackhawks | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 214.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Maple Leafs | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Blackhawks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 132.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Blackhawks | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Blackhawks | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 97.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 92.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Blackhawks | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Blackhawks | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks | 58c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Blackhawks | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Blackhawks | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Blackhawks | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Blackhawks | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 47.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb34…93a5backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…db2dbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Blackhawks | 57c | 42.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Blackhawks | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…8922backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Blackhawks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Blackhawks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…5e63backed Blackhawks | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Blackhawks | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Blackhawks | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Blackhawks | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Blackhawks | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…2636backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Blackhawks | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Blackhawks | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Blackhawks | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Blackhawks | 57c | 26.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…9362backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…8fddbacked Blackhawks | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Blackhawks | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blackhawks | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Blackhawks | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs won
- Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.