TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Quentin Halys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Halysof Busta, Halys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$336,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8dbf…53bebacked Busta49c100,565$49,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,032.841250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Halys51c69,289$35,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,951.484944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Halys52c17,736$9,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,485.2476140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Busta56c17,093$9,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,603.281,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Halys39c14,777$5,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,959.642,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Halys46c7,986$3,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,291.132,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Halys53c7,947$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,706.915446.3%25 W · 29 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Busta28c7,206$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.041,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Halys49c6,778$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b4…13c9backed Busta37c6,757$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.253647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Halys51c6,500$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18512147.1%57 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Halys54c6,390$3,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.962161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Halys39c6,083$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.632,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Busta46c5,509$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.3643051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Busta14c3,293$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.88,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Halys52c3,219$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.2347552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Halys59c3,065$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.1555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Busta48c2,419$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.253246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Busta8c2,231$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.046,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b7…21e1backed Halys52c2,146$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Busta48c1,960$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.7438133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Halys48c1,805$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.331,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Busta62c1,790$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.2513260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Halys50c1,490$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.0747057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Halys33c1,480$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.2111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Halys67c1,355$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.884,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Busta47c1,217$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.291,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Busta64c1,208$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Busta2c1,112$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.582,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Busta48c1,040$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.191,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Halys52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4808248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Halys54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Halys51c934.18$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.811,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b61…599cbacked Busta49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Busta46c773$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.0797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Halys52c739.83$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1233241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Halys41c739.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.2226847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Busta15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Busta35c614.18$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.266,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce4…62fcbacked Halys67c600$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20111745.3%53 W · 64 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Halys51c590.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.332846.4%13 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd928…27ffbacked Busta64c579.04$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3731070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Busta58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Halys56c500.01$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3457645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Halys52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Halys66c480$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.991,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Busta47c426.34$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8325433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Busta48c414.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Halys52c400$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19446649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Busta60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Halys64c327.25$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.777,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Halys52c326.38$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.381,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Halys54c324.02$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4349143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Busta48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Halys34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.121,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Busta48c289.96$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.187632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Halys53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0251052%265 W · 245 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Busta44c244.24$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6968139.1%266 W · 415 L-30.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Busta67c238.81$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16014947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Halys53c233.33$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4120552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Halys54c230.04$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0454348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Halys61c218$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1530639.9%122 W · 184 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Busta46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Busta50c210$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5273745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Busta12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Halys54c206.17$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2561953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Busta48c201.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6231753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Busta8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.932528%7 W · 18 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Halys50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010743%46 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Busta7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Busta47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9426247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Busta50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Halys51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0829553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Halys52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3157349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Busta50c187.1$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.262634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Halys53c186.65$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6551849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Busta10c186.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6622634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Halys43c185.72$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.678848.9%43 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Halys50c179.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9027344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Halys45c177.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7837544.3%166 W · 209 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Busta61c164.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4413052.3%68 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Halys49c164.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.139248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Busta63c159.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Busta64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Busta65c154.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Busta48c145.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Busta48c144.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.542141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Busta48c144$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.821,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Busta53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015117.9%27 W · 124 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Halys40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7539850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Halys40c123.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9830741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Halys44c121.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5984736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Halys43c121.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9912958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7f…85c3backed Busta50c121.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Busta51c119.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2425542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb89…ec39backed Halys52c115.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.512958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Halys53c113.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.972,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Halys54c111.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8624563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Busta48c111.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0355641.2%229 W · 327 L-2.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Halys52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.773775.7%28 W · 9 L+8.4wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+41.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.