TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alabama State Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabama State Hornetsof Florida A&M Rattlers, Alabama State Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Alabama State Hornets72c3,721$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.185,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Florida A&M Rattlers39c2,224$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.513,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Florida A&M Rattlers31c2,166$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.072,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida A&M Rattlers40c1,668$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.252,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Alabama State Hornets55c1,644$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.343450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Alabama State Hornets69c959$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.171,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Florida A&M Rattlers23c880.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Florida A&M Rattlers30c821.23$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.881,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alabama State Hornets33c757.59$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.165,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Alabama State Hornets60c665.38$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.291,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked Florida A&M Rattlers46c537.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Florida A&M Rattlers38c523.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Alabama State Hornets61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19582048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Alabama State Hornets34c499.97$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.084742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Florida A&M Rattlers35c480.01$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0714643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Florida A&M Rattlers33c474.81$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Florida A&M Rattlers45c442.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Florida A&M Rattlers46c437.81$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2631646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Alabama State Hornets59c423.68$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6840755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alabama State Hornets59c379.33$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Alabama State Hornets75c344.3$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Florida A&M Rattlers39c278.03$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9311252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Alabama State Hornets65c267.31$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.571,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9c…4776backed Florida A&M Rattlers43c234.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Alabama State Hornets68c229.4$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Florida A&M Rattlers43c220.69$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.131,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Alabama State Hornets58c210.92$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.599235.9%33 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Florida A&M Rattlers42c205.74$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.112,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Alabama State Hornets62c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0614151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Alabama State Hornets59c199.3$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7158345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Alabama State Hornets61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.724,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Alabama State Hornets48c165$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Alabama State Hornets67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2548462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Florida A&M Rattlers47c139.7$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5619237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida A&M Rattlers46c136$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.561,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Alabama State Hornets60c100.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.064040%16 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida A&M Rattlers41c91.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.694,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Alabama State Hornets59c89.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.283,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Florida A&M Rattlers43c82.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3813851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb58c…5fc5backed Alabama State Hornets71c79.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Florida A&M Rattlers41c78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.987346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Florida A&M Rattlers36c69.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0968254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Florida A&M Rattlers40c66.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7797447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alabama State Hornets61c61.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.272,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Florida A&M Rattlers46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Florida A&M Rattlers25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Florida A&M Rattlers39c59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.019355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Alabama State Hornets61c57.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.398359%49 W · 34 L+11.5wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Florida A&M Rattlers43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Florida A&M Rattlers39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.718129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Florida A&M Rattlers42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Florida A&M Rattlers28c46.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.064060%24 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed Alabama State Hornets59c42.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.057648.7%37 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Alabama State Hornets59c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.993250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Florida A&M Rattlers42c33.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9438345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Alabama State Hornets61c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.484156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Alabama State Hornets61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.764658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cae…b135backed Alabama State Hornets62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3e03…f336backed Alabama State Hornets53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Alabama State Hornets61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.725152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Alabama State Hornets58c29.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.292,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb723…9129backed Alabama State Hornets53c28.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Alabama State Hornets61c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.533161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alabama State Hornets63c26.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.771,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Alabama State Hornets61c24.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6816341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed Alabama State Hornets59c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.842152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Florida A&M Rattlers61c23.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3618167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Florida A&M Rattlers68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Florida A&M Rattlers65c21.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1713550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b5…0e15backed Alabama State Hornets60c20.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.13837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309a…f474backed Alabama State Hornets53c18.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.921090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+61.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.