Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42dbf2c25bef552aa742e2ac1fa126302d6a4cd0e25fd54ba703ccc9d9d018c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 52c | 99,987$51,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,160.55 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 48c | 68,531$32,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,895.06 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 15,060$7,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,278.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 52c | 1,696$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.31 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 52c | 815.39$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.39 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 425$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 310$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 236.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 235.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 235.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 134.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 99.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 95.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…fc7abacked Under | 49c | 33.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 140.5this page
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alabama State HornetsAlabama State Hornets won
- Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-3.5)Alabama State Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.