NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5abf1707811d9cf2fbcb031e967b8de5b81a538a9cc4849deaf3428bee7ebb2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Flames, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,584,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,651,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,584,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 787 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Flames | 57c | 744,597$424,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424,546.38 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 45c | 623,026$281,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341,059.04 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 57c | 155,797$88,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,586.37 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sharks | 43c | 155,570$67,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,276.93 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Flames | 56c | 125,694$70,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,346.94 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sharks | 43c | 64,837$27,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,957.01 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks | 46c | 40,000$18,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,710.63 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 44c | 26,273$11,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,617.05 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Sharks | 73c | 25,000$18,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Flames | 28c | 23,291$6,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,514.23 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Sharks | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…261ebacked Sharks | 64c | 12,205$7,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Sharks | 44c | 11,110$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,277.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Flames | 28c | 10,017$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.19 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 44c | 9,177$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.6 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Sharks | 66c | 7,500$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Sharks | 41c | 6,725$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.49 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Sharks | 43c | 6,452$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.73 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sharks | 44c | 5,998$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.73 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sharks | 45c | 5,984$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.27 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Sharks | 42c | 5,776$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.28 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Sharks | 43c | 5,543$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…6575backed Flames | 29c | 5,154$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Sharks | 63c | 5,149$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.01 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Sharks | 59c | 5,114$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.77 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Sharks | 61c | 5,090$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.09 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7228…c058backed Sharks | 43c | 5,086$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…b771backed Flames | 56c | 5,062$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Flames | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…63b5backed Flames | 56c | 4,934$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…49b5backed Sharks | 43c | 4,909$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 53c | 4,847$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.73 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Sharks | 48c | 4,144$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.81 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1b…b963backed Sharks | 44c | 3,785$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Sharks | 45c | 3,749$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.6 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Sharks | 43c | 3,587$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.59 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sharks | 43c | 3,508$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.68 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Sharks | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 44c | 3,472$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.6 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Flames | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.48 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Sharks | 44c | 3,263$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.28 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Flames | 47c | 3,110$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.62 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Sharks | 47c | 3,106$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.02 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Sharks | 51c | 2,928$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.14 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flames | 54c | 2,908$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.35 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Sharks | 47c | 2,855$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.15 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Sharks | 44c | 2,835$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.84 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Flames | 37c | 2,669$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 53c | 2,598$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.91 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…701bbacked Flames | 53c | 2,585$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf866…eb17backed Sharks | 62c | 2,576$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Flames | 51c | 2,425$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.81 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Sharks | 78c | 2,364$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Sharks | 44c | 2,272$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.32 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f94…0ea6backed Sharks | 63c | 2,272$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Sharks | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.34 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed Sharks | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks | 44c | 2,200$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Sharks | 47c | 2,166$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.86 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 44c | 2,143$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.08 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Sharks | 49c | 2,055$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.89 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 37c | 2,044$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.78 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Sharks | 43c | 2,000$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.77 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Flames | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…b9bebacked Sharks | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sharks | 45c | 2,000$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.89 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Flames | 40c | 1,960$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Sharks | 54c | 1,886$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.56 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Sharks | 47c | 1,843$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Sharks | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.18 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Sharks | 70c | 1,800$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.68 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Flames | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flames | 52c | 1,768$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.47 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 29c | 1,763$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.94 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Flames | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.55 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Flames | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.94 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 46c | 1,638$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Flames | 55c | 1,628$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.63 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Flames | 27c | 1,618$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Flames | 53c | 1,604$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Sharks | 44c | 1,545$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.45 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Sharks | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Sharks | 44c | 1,511$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.36 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sharks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 44c | 1,485$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.82 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flames | 38c | 1,461$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.57 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 44c | 1,454$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.27 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flames | 1c | 1,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Flames | 27c | 1,326$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.44 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sharks | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.11 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…def2backed Sharks | 47c | 1,269$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ec…21b5backed Flames | 53c | 1,269$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.57 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 3c | 1,250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…7b06backed Sharks | 47c | 1,246$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…6f13backed Flames | 53c | 1,246$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Sharksthis page
- Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.