TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c2,798$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.582,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over54c2,761$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.0660337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over53c641.2$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3627243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c637$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.395250%26 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23028842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Over53c453.87$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under48c306$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.884050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13875946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under46c225$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.375453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Over53c195$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6510554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under59c193.48$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9832451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under48c193$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.644656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under48c189$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.234557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under47c187$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.564746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under48c171$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.085052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.63652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under47c167$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.32466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c160.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.941,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under47c151$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.526165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.52,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under48c143$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.644454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over51c116.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under48c106$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.885253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over53c104$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.889850%49 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under48c96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.083141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under47c95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.653046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over54c93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.782839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.681947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.24240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Over52c87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.651040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under48c87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.764052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Under48c84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under47c83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.014055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Over53c81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.471573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over69c80.81$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.421,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Over52c79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.921855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under48c78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.163447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.042867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over52c72.92$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Over52c69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.841872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+47.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over52c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb7…8745backed Over52c67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+60.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Over52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.722171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+43.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Over52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.521758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19fe…dbd8backed Over52c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.241346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2788151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2778443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.482441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84450%22 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed Over53c58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.261770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.291735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.362065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Over52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.922744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under48c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.444143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under48c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.446167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Under32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612735.4%45 W · 82 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Over52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.042445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67de…1d9bbacked Over52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f24…6fb1backed Under49c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Over54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Over52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Over52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over52c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.123141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under48c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.124938.8%19 W · 30 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under48c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.122965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Under48c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.122245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Over52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…80ddbacked Under49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over53c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.031,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked Over52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Over52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.162254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd59a…ac62backed Under60c41.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.685955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Over52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.681947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked Over54c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21687.5%14 W · 2 L+5.9wins+0.37per pick51cpaid+89.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Over54c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.941656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Over52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.722842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7414844.6%66 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c3…3800backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0857…5bedbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.046949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Over52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.282240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Over52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over73c34.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4549045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.322748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Over52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over35c30.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.