NHL · resolved market
Spread: Flames (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2c51b5e30903b4229795aa20da0d649f88e41a6ae5de27b4dc3154a041b9289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Flames, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Sharks | 66c | 1,400$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 69c | 1,114$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.62 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 30c | 1,108$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.76 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flames | 35c | 1,008$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…ccbdbacked Flames | 34c | 960$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…4370backed Flames | 34c | 950$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Flames | 34c | 629$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Flames | 33c | 413.46$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…c41ebacked Sharks | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…09f5backed Sharks | 66c | 380$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…d7a7backed Sharks | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…c066backed Sharks | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Sharks | 64c | 311$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Flames | 34c | 277.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9c…66d7backed Sharks | 66c | 230$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 65c | 226$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…f238backed Sharks | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Sharks | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Sharks | 67c | 170$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Sharks | 67c | 170$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Sharks | 67c | 167$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sharks | 68c | 154.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Flames | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Sharks | 66c | 148$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Sharks | 67c | 147$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sharks | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Sharks | 67c | 138$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Sharks | 67c | 114$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Sharks | 66c | 111$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Sharks | 66c | 111$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Sharks | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames | 32c | 106.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Flames | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Sharks | 67c | 92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Sharks | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Sharks | 66c | 83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Flames | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Flames | 33c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Flames | 33c | 71.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Flames | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Flames | 32c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Sharks | 67c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Sharks | 67c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Flames | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Sharks | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Flames | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Sharks | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Sharks | 66c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Flames | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Flames | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Sharks | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Flames | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -80%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Flames | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Flames | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Flames | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Sharks | 67c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Flames | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Flames | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Flames | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Flames | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Flames | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Flames | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Flames | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Flames | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Sharks | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Flames | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…9362backed Flames | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Sharks | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Flames | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Flames | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Flames | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Sharks | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Flames | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Flames | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Flames | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Flames | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Sharks | 66c | 37.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Flames | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Flames | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Flames | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Flames | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Sharks | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Flames | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Flames | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Sharks | 67c | 31.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Flames | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Sharks | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Sharks | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Flames | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Flames | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Sharks | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Sharks | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sharks | 63c | 26.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Sharks | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…385bbacked Sharks | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Sharks | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Sharks | 65c | 23.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Sharks | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Sharks | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Sharks | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)this page
- Flames vs. SharksSharks won
- Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.