Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Sofia Costoulas vs Chloe Paquet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x848f2aea245870a4b63f47da680d7e7176f9997526264d3ef2fd334a8d701f1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Costoulasof Costoulas, Paquet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Paquet | 3c | 5,994$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.33 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Paquet | 10c | 1,273$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Paquet | 19c | 644.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Paquet | 41c | 375.62$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Costoulas | 62c | 349.1$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Costoulas | 77c | 330.53$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Paquet | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Paquet | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Paquet | 20c | 186.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Costoulas | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Costoulas | 71c | 148$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Paquet | 35c | 142$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Paquet | 27c | 119$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Paquet | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Costoulas | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Paquet | 37c | 98.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Costoulas | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Costoulas | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Paquet | 39c | 77.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Paquet | 35c | 67.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Costoulas | 62c | 58.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Paquet | 38c | 44.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Paquet | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…9664backed Costoulas | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Costoulas | 72c | 23.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Costoulas | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…9129backed Costoulas | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Costoulas | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.