NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99a17fdc292d9a1aae0acd9348d6478b034eb65668c0125100757acdb4889555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Utah, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Utah | 45c | 201,000$90,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,440 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Stars | 55c | 200,000$110,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,000 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Stars | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.95 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…6fcfbacked Utah | 46c | 20,562$9,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,458.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Stars | 56c | 20,536$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,035.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…cc53backed Utah | 38c | 19,368$7,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,347.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Utah | 45c | 16,163$7,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,234.77 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Utah | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…213bbacked Utah | 16c | 12,400$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Stars | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Utah | 44c | 8,995$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.69 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 68c | 8,968$6,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,078.59 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 55c | 6,295$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.76 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.87 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 56c | 5,760$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.82 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah | 44c | 5,625$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.89 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 37c | 5,026$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.12 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Stars | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 38c | 3,980$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stars | 74c | 3,790$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.94 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Stars | 56c | 3,596$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.93 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Stars | 47c | 3,383$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.44 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah | 44c | 3,305$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Utah | 37c | 3,057$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.96 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah | 44c | 3,054$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.9 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.12 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah | 44c | 2,068$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.74 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Stars | 55c | 1,853$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.91 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Stars | 78c | 1,834$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.07 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah | 45c | 1,760$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Utah | 45c | 1,733$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Utah | 55c | 1,700$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.74 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 39c | 1,603$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.33 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 54c | 1,388$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.48 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Utah | 27c | 1,337$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.79 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Utah | 1c | 1,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…99c4backed Stars | 53c | 1,160$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.85 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Utah | 60c | 1,020$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.9 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Stars | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 36c | 979.98$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.18 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Stars | 55c | 926.08$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.56 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Utah | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stars | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 56c | 851$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.44 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Stars | 35c | 734.24$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Stars | 53c | 609.72$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.56 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Utah | 45c | 601$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.45 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Utah | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Stars | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Stars | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Stars | 54c | 505.6$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.58 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Stars | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Stars | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Utah | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Utah | 44c | 488.36$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Utah | 30c | 468.06$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Utah | 44c | 448.55$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 71c | 433.78$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stars | 66c | 427.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.12 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc175…a7ecbacked Stars | 56c | 410$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Utah | 41c | 373.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Stars | 61c | 360.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Stars | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…94b7backed Utah | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Utah | 64c | 311.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Utah | 45c | 307.36$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Stars | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Utah | 44c | 257.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…d78bbacked Stars | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Stars | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stars | 63c | 245.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Utah | 39c | 245.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Utah | 44c | 236.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Utah | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…2158backed Utah | 65c | 230.26$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Utah | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Utah | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Utah | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Stars | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Stars | 54c | 207$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…cd76backed Stars | 66c | 205.24$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Utah | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Utah | 44c | 181$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…19ddbacked Stars | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…fc05backed Stars | 56c | 176$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Stars | 41c | 172.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Utah | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Utah | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 73c | 155.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah | 41c | 152.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Utah | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Stars | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Utah | 39c | 143.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e3…6472backed Utah | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Utah | 45c | 134.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…e87fbacked Stars | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Starsthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.