TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc175…a7ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$139.75
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$111.57
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.96
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$154.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$287
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,831.49
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$1,880.64
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.79
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,158.66
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$77.32
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$324.99
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$322
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$180.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$509.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked AlQadsiah Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mandel Nallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.