UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf64498a1700f91963506f4802eb8573e6eee0cd4ed8e1deebc09542bd605f74b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jai Herbertof Mandel Nallo, Jai Herbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $704,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $727,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $704,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Jai Herbert | 39c | 287,915$112,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,493.33 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 254,356$156,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,045.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Mandel Nallo | 62c | 102,491$63,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,546.21 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Jai Herbert | 40c | 54,792$21,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,875.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Jai Herbert | 37c | 39,473$14,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,868.06 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Jai Herbert | 40c | 34,263$13,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,557.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Jai Herbert | 38c | 32,608$12,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,216.99 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jai Herbert | 38c | 32,145$12,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,900.93 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…f07bbacked Mandel Nallo | 60c | 27,851$16,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,770.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 25,330$15,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,451.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Jai Herbert | 38c | 23,318$8,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,457.39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mandel Nallo | 60c | 19,921$12,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,050.75 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Mandel Nallo | 62c | 13,572$8,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,361.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Jai Herbert | 39c | 11,998$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,318.85 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 11,365$6,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,932.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mandel Nallo | 60c | 10,087$6,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,052.25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jai Herbert | 38c | 9,800$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075.72 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…312cbacked Mandel Nallo | 61c | 9,291$5,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,667.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jai Herbert | 38c | 8,210$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.35 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Jai Herbert | 38c | 8,100$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mandel Nallo | 60c | 7,353$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.63 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Mandel Nallo | 1c | 7,055$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Mandel Nallo | 60c | 6,832$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.2 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…96ecbacked Mandel Nallo | 61c | 6,388$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mandel Nallo | 60c | 6,207$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.95 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Jai Herbert | 38c | 6,023$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.55 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Jai Herbert | 37c | 5,110$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.33 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mandel Nallo | 54c | 5,105$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.32 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Jai Herbert | 38c | 4,920$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.4 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Jai Herbert | 39c | 4,888$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.91 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Jai Herbert | 38c | 4,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Mandel Nallo | 50c | 3,917$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.01 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Mandel Nallo | 60c | 3,904$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Jai Herbert | 40c | 3,640$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Mandel Nallo | 61c | 3,613$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 3,215$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.78 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mandel Nallo | 62c | 3,212$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.61 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Mandel Nallo | 61c | 3,202$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.2 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…fcf2backed Mandel Nallo | 62c | 3,152$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…4409backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 3,131$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…dc81backed Jai Herbert | 40c | 2,988$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…b91fbacked Mandel Nallo | 61c | 2,782$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Mandel Nallo | 60c | 2,455$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.96 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Mandel Nallo | 45c | 2,149$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Mandel Nallo | 41c | 1,969$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.45 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Mandel Nallo | 60c | 1,967$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.92 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…6ea2backed Jai Herbert | 38c | 1,964$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.59 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Mandel Nallo | 72c | 1,952$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.71 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Jai Herbert | 40c | 1,928$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.8 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Mandel Nallo | 62c | 1,889$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.71 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Mandel Nallo | 62c | 1,701$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.62 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Jai Herbert | 38c | 1,630$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.6 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Mandel Nallo | 62c | 1,613$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.04 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Jai Herbert | 39c | 1,599$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.54 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed Jai Herbert | 38c | 1,538$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 1,465$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.59 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Jai Herbert | 52c | 1,247$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.13 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Jai Herbert | 40c | 1,176$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.65 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Mandel Nallo | 1c | 1,166$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Jai Herbert | 40c | 1,129$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Jai Herbert | 41c | 1,107$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.34 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Jai Herbert | 40c | 997.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jai Herbert | 38c | 965.22$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.27 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Jai Herbert | 51c | 959.32$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.15 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8921…a442backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 877.16$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mandel Nallo | 52c | 842.27$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.83 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Jai Herbert | 39c | 819.7$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Mandel Nallo | 62c | 818.79$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc175…a7ecbacked Mandel Nallo | 61c | 817.41$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.3 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Mandel Nallo | 62c | 759.77$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Mandel Nallo | 53c | 753.94$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.1 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mandel Nallo | 60c | 748.21$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.65 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Mandel Nallo | 57c | 745.99$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.22 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Mandel Nallo | 34c | 709.79$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.07 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mandel Nallo | 53c | 704$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.61 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a39…9e71backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 684.6$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Jai Herbert | 40c | 650.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.42 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 640.39$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.64 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 614.59$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.9 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Mandel Nallo | 33c | 586.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 585.96$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.44 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…10afbacked Mandel Nallo | 61c | 585.96$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Mandel Nallo | 60c | 585.39$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.23 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Jai Herbert | 51c | 556.55$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Jai Herbert | 40c | 555$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…4358backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 538.11$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…b64abacked Mandel Nallo | 61c | 531.53$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Mandel Nallo | 72c | 518.34$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…3a87backed Jai Herbert | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Mandel Nallo | 60c | 488$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…c3f0backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 480.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…4388backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 480.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9604…8d92backed Jai Herbert | 40c | 472.36$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…0f85backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 454.12$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.01 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Mandel Nallo | 33c | 422.69$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 399.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Mandel Nallo | 33c | 395.71$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Mandel Nallo | 62c | 390.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Mandel Nallo | 61c | 385$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.7 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Mandel Nallo win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.