College Football · resolved market
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca476f0b362bfbf3b86d7a65be09d20b71f341dad57f95bc1bec4626f18a0dee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fresno Stateof Miami (OH), Fresno State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Miami (OH) | 38c | 44,638$17,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,089.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Fresno State | 67c | 37,122$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,121.5 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Fresno State | 62c | 21,254$13,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,076.42 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Miami (OH) | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Fresno State | 64c | 10,347$6,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.92 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Fresno State | 65c | 8,645$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.84 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Miami (OH) | 35c | 8,227$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.44 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Miami (OH) | 42c | 8,113$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.82 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami (OH) | 33c | 7,161$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.37 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami (OH) | 31c | 6,241$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.18 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fresno State | 66c | 5,826$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.02 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami (OH) | 30c | 4,982$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.82 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fresno State | 64c | 4,864$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.89 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Miami (OH) | 17c | 3,987$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.55 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Fresno State | 69c | 3,867$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.59 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Miami (OH) | 34c | 3,152$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.69 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fresno State | 64c | 2,823$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.38 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Miami (OH) | 35c | 2,632$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.33 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Fresno State | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Fresno State | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Miami (OH) | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Fresno State | 68c | 1,865$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.63 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Miami (OH) | 32c | 1,700$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami (OH) | 33c | 1,627$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.85 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…cc4cbacked Miami (OH) | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc175…a7ecbacked Fresno State | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…355fbacked Miami (OH) | 35c | 1,481$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fresno State | 62c | 1,249$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.2 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…bfa5backed Fresno State | 65c | 1,189$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Miami (OH) | 8c | 1,177$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Miami (OH) | 35c | 999.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Fresno State | 65c | 999.95$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Miami (OH) | 34c | 999.95$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Miami (OH) | 34c | 912.33$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.19 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fresno State | 61c | 893.02$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.59 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fresno State | 63c | 833$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed Miami (OH) | 35c | 797.94$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…12d2backed Miami (OH) | 35c | 754$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…ed1cbacked Miami (OH) | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Fresno State | 69c | 690$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Miami (OH) | 34c | 627.15$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…3fa1backed Miami (OH) | 41c | 611.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Fresno State | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Fresno State | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Fresno State | 51c | 596.65$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.87 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Fresno State | 69c | 562.75$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…db0dbacked Miami (OH) | 35c | 524$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Miami (OH) | 34c | 518.62$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.33 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Fresno State | 60c | 506.7$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Miami (OH) | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…10b0backed Miami (OH) | 45c | 496.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…3e92backed Fresno State | 65c | 478$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Fresno State | 64c | 477.34$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fresno State | 73c | 475.85$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fresno State | 64c | 475.69$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.25 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Fresno State | 68c | 456.89$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.73 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Fresno State | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Fresno State | 66c | 442$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Fresno State | 58c | 432.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Fresno State | 73c | 431.15$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked Fresno State | 66c | 412.12$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Miami (OH) | 36c | 411.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Miami (OH) | 36c | 400.14$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…0fd1backed Miami (OH) | 24c | 399.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Fresno State | 64c | 394.39$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Miami (OH) | 47c | 380.93$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Miami (OH) | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fresno State | 51c | 370$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami (OH) | 30c | 334.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Fresno State | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…662ebacked Miami (OH) | 53c | 315.96$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fresno State | 79c | 313$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Miami (OH) | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…0268backed Fresno State | 65c | 292$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Fresno State | 64c | 288.76$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Miami (OH) | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…42cbbacked Fresno State | 65c | 282$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…8404backed Miami (OH) | 25c | 276.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…e5e6backed Fresno State | 65c | 276$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Fresno State | 62c | 262.9$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Miami (OH) | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…ba42backed Fresno State | 67c | 249.54$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Miami (OH) | 36c | 248$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Miami (OH) | 30c | 247.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…abcebacked Fresno State | 65c | 242$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fresno State | 58c | 229.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fresno State | 58c | 205.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…f268backed Miami (OH) | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Miami (OH) | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Fresno State | 60c | 195$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…029abacked Miami (OH) | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…e50abacked Fresno State | 78c | 175.09$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Miami (OH) | 26c | 171.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…dffcbacked Miami (OH) | 36c | 139.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…f09dbacked Miami (OH) | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Miami (OH) | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…d32cbacked Miami (OH) | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Miami (OH) | 54c | 135$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Fresno State | 72c | 133.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Miami (OH) | 35c | 124$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statethis page
- Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State: 1H MoneylineFresno State won
- Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State: O/U 40.5Under won
- Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State: O/U 41.5Under won
- O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Fresno State (-4.5)Fresno State won
- Spread: Fresno State (-5.5)Fresno State won
- Spread: Fresno State (-6.5)Fresno State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.