TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdcd7…029a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$263.51
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$146
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$80.89
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$115.08
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$166.55
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$123.52
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+400%+$776
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$383.4
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.41
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$345.24
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$132.34
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$90.34
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$129.64
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$56.89
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+74.9%+$166.92
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+96.1%+$134.51
Flyers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$163.66
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$360.75
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$204.85
Kraken vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.33
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$396
AHL: San Diego Gulls vs. Colorado Eaglesbacked San Diego Gulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+141.4%+$20.5
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+203%+$105.58
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Kings vs. Starsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$133.54
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$82.98
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$993.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed US Cremonese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$455.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$618.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.