NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79eaaac47c24d0175413fd92c211c7b65f56b5d3ebfdf88bbea0af59874a70e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $652,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Kings | 69c | 350,000$241,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241,465.86 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 31c | 195,441$60,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,563.6 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kraken | 38c | 34,498$13,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,497.34 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kraken | 31c | 24,070$7,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,608.3 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 32c | 19,451$6,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,203.48 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 21c | 14,000$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 36c | 10,630$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,828.75 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.87 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 72c | 9,308$6,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.34 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Kraken | 38c | 8,714$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.43 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Kraken | 37c | 8,094$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.94 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,439.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kraken | 31c | 7,097$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.77 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Kings | 25c | 6,933$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.35 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kraken | 38c | 6,341$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.23 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Kraken | 40c | 6,279$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Kraken | 33c | 6,240$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.71 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kraken | 79c | 5,924$4,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.52 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 56c | 5,472$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.74 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Kraken | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Kings | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Kings | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Kraken | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.98 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Kraken | 38c | 3,499$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings | 18c | 3,253$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.95 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 74c | 3,191$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.17 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Kraken | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Kings | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Kraken | 38c | 2,839$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Kraken | 38c | 2,756$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.9 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Kraken | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kraken | 31c | 2,600$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken | 32c | 2,430$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.4 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Kings | 68c | 2,408$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 16c | 2,272$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.16 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 19c | 2,112$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.36 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Kraken | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kraken | 31c | 1,980$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.2 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kraken | 79c | 1,918$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Kings | 24c | 1,786$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.38 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 68c | 1,698$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.47 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 33c | 1,691$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.07 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Kings | 47c | 1,688$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kraken | 75c | 1,680$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kraken | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Kings | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Kings | 69c | 1,594$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kings | 67c | 1,533$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.11 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Kings | 67c | 1,524$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.07 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Kings | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Kings | 68c | 1,480$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.4 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kraken | 75c | 1,327$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.65 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kraken | 37c | 1,319$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.32 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Kraken | 31c | 1,239$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.17 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kraken | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings | 69c | 1,200$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Kings | 68c | 1,197$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.96 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Kings | 46c | 1,089$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kraken | 31c | 1,089$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.88 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Kraken | 38c | 1,082$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.65 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…4c60backed Kings | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Kraken | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 67c | 991.89$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.78 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Kraken | 38c | 987.89$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Kraken | 74c | 910.84$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.17 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Kraken | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 68c | 827.7$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Kings | 68c | 817.92$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.27 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kings | 29c | 815.4$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.49 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Kings | 52c | 800$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.79 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Kraken | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Kraken | 36c | 733.33$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.33 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Kraken | 77c | 726.04$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Kings | 20c | 677.05$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Kings | 68c | 662.79$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.7 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Kraken | 77c | 647.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.54 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Kings | 65c | 644.39$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Kings | 68c | 632.35$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Kraken | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Kraken | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Kings | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Kraken | 43c | 554.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 66c | 553.82$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.52 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Kraken | 39c | 516.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Kraken | 37c | 515.95$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.05 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Kings | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Kings | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Kings | 68c | 500$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.67 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Kraken | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Kings | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…1c28backed Kraken | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Kings | 45c | 396$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Kraken | 33c | 392.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.29 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…e822backed Kraken | 77c | 387.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Kingsthis page
- Kraken vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.