TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Kings: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under53c34,535$18,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,233.2815953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Under54c22,235$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,235.327844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over47c20,652$9,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,706.4320354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under53c9,930$5,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,667.193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c7,884$3,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,626.431,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over47c6,656$3,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.514553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.981,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over47c4,154$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.9228652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Over47c4,008$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.8813551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over46c2,800$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28829651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17523751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over47c2,483$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1678543.5%37 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over47c2,448$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.21,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c2,290$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.911,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009846.9%46 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over47c2,100$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9876653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over47c1,887$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8871428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over47c1,683$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.8320147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over46c1,611$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.066555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c1,129$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5828251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over47c974.47$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45831753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c973.91$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4482,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Over47c794.87$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5930152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over47c716$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.521,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28222248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over46c514$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4484953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Under54c509.26$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.268257.3%47 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under53c443.97$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6749546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over47c417.18$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0712250%61 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over47c297$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5914848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under53c285$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Over46c279.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.84245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over48c240$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11423249.1%114 W · 118 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c240$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over47c240$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.837649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9476450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926363.5%40 W · 23 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.194951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Over47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over47c144.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6821549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.458346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.48952.8%47 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c107.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.452,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under57c93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.992,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.348149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.347249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3527851.1%142 W · 136 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over47c72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8426348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over47c72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8427148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over47c62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3421951.6%113 W · 106 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.469653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Over47c57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7916048.1%77 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Over47c57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7915647.4%74 W · 82 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3826448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3829550.2%148 W · 147 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3860549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.559950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2327445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over47c49.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.232646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811252.7%59 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a8…672ebacked Under54c39.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedfc…9789backed Over47c38.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0413743.1%59 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9213145.8%60 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9219645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9220447.5%97 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9210543.8%46 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9211247.3%53 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9229147.4%138 W · 153 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9213046.2%60 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9217552%91 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9219848.5%96 W · 102 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9219442.8%83 W · 111 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9219647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9213346.6%62 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9218946%87 W · 102 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9219745.2%89 W · 108 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9219046.8%89 W · 101 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9220045.5%91 W · 109 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4324…c65dbacked Under54c35.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc057…14fabacked Over47c35.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7590…d6e0backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over46c31.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4460141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.121648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd2…2b28backed Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85044%22 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.140152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd91e…1b0bbacked Under54c29.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6330349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.