NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e6746b7ae4917e227a2803eef5b7851ebe82b8c7674022bea1b7ba24b38d782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Maple Leafs, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $819,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $875,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $819,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 142,568$73,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,957.25 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kraken | 50c | 89,122$44,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,902.22 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kraken | 48c | 70,454$34,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,302.57 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 67,737$34,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,158.38 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 61,901$31,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,569.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 37,229$13,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,753.81 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Kraken | 48c | 31,274$15,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,149.96 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kraken | 49c | 29,902$14,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,211.84 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kraken | 49c | 25,030$12,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,715.18 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 50c | 20,884$10,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,496.56 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 54c | 19,691$10,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,142.91 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken | 48c | 17,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,839.75 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 15,294$6,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,798 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kraken | 48c | 15,116$7,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,860.48 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 14,000$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken | 49c | 13,757$6,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,046.4 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…aa21backed Kraken | 50c | 10,240$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kraken | 50c | 10,050$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kraken | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 5,970$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.02 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 49c | 5,589$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.32 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kraken | 48c | 4,397$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.48 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kraken | 50c | 4,358$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 4,134$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.56 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7a65backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 4,111$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 4,035$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Kraken | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Kraken | 49c | 3,890$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.8 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Kraken | 48c | 3,889$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.28 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 3,847$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.74 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,725$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.73 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,467$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.42 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…5bf1backed Kraken | 49c | 3,256$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Kraken | 49c | 3,225$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.21 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,204$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.8 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Kraken | 49c | 3,055$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Maple Leafs | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Kraken | 49c | 2,983$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.4 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 2,818$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.82 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,702$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.95 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Kraken | 49c | 2,633$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.89 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 49c | 2,546$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.97 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47da…ce18backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,544$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kraken | 49c | 2,521$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.91 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…c127backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,277$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kraken | 49c | 2,275$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.15 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,129$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.6 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 66c | 2,052$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Kraken | 50c | 2,019$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.62 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kraken | 49c | 2,019$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.69 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kraken | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…3bd1backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Kraken | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kraken | 49c | 1,971$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.21 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,970$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.8 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 4c | 1,857$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 16c | 1,791$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.48 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…3689backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,759$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…1725backed Kraken | 50c | 1,758$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kraken | 49c | 1,743$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.22 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,709$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Kraken | 51c | 1,674$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.99 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 49c | 1,654$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.68 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Kraken | 68c | 1,631$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.65 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,616$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.24 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,604$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 70c | 1,566$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.86 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…fdafbacked Kraken | 49c | 1,564$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kraken | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…7485backed Kraken | 49c | 1,493$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,493$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.72 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3261…74e6backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,490$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…0ca4backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…21a4backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,444$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kraken | 49c | 1,435$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.15 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a92…8a92backed Kraken | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,419$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…151fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,417$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…4963backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,415$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kraken | 65c | 1,401$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.73 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Kraken | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…0848backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,395$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…92bcbacked Kraken | 49c | 1,390$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x717c…093dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,389$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…85b8backed Kraken | 49c | 1,381$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5e…620abacked Kraken | 49c | 1,364$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…9212backed Kraken | 49c | 1,362$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Kraken | 63c | 1,360$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.44 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,353$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.42 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Kraken | 51c | 1,353$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.92 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…3496backed Kraken | 49c | 1,350$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Krakenthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Kraken won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.