NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d8558c0c6f2b8905b9ba0ac2a1f10528c681328cb34b186559bd1818e388e26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Sharks, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $989,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,074,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $989,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Blackhawks | 50c | 179,558$89,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,985 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 51c | 135,571$68,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,620.58 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Blackhawks | 49c | 113,677$55,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,079.07 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blackhawks | 49c | 109,222$53,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,170.74 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sharks | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Sharks | 51c | 90,067$45,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,934.1 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Blackhawks | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Sharks | 52c | 77,591$39,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,959.9 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 35c | 64,613$22,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,486.37 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Blackhawks | 49c | 53,000$25,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,029.94 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Blackhawks | 65c | 38,379$24,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,432.75 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 48c | 29,633$14,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,291.83 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Sharks | 51c | 29,412$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Blackhawks | 70c | 28,621$19,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,722.93 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sharks | 50c | 28,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Sharks | 35c | 21,580$7,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,553.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Blackhawks | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Blackhawks | 50c | 15,000$7,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.98 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Blackhawks | 66c | 14,721$9,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005.07 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sharks | 51c | 12,628$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440.28 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 0c | 12,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Sharks | 50c | 11,145$5,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,572.44 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Blackhawks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Sharks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sharks | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 37c | 7,930$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.57 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sharks | 5c | 7,928$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.78 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sharks | 50c | 7,500$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 51c | 7,056$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.44 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Sharks | 2c | 7,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Blackhawks | 65c | 6,689$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.32 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Sharks | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks | 50c | 6,000$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Blackhawks | 65c | 5,610$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.53 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Sharks | 4c | 5,209$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sharks | 50c | 5,120$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Sharks | 50c | 5,019$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Sharks | 5c | 5,014$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Sharks | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Sharks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Sharks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Sharks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Blackhawks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Blackhawks | 50c | 4,498$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.98 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Sharks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Sharks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Blackhawks | 48c | 3,716$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.16 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sharks | 51c | 3,510$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Sharks | 51c | 3,488$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.95 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 9c | 3,313$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.83 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 51c | 3,158$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Sharks | 35c | 3,067$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.31 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Sharks | 51c | 3,035$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Blackhawks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blackhawks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Blackhawks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks | 67c | 2,726$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.3 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Blackhawks | 65c | 2,650$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.5 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blackhawks | 74c | 2,614$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.68 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blackhawks | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sharks | 51c | 2,431$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.61 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Blackhawks | 65c | 2,315$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.74 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blackhawks | 78c | 2,244$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.72 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 50c | 2,179$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.47 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks | 3c | 2,104$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Sharks | 1c | 2,083$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blackhawks | 48c | 2,028$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.57 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Sharks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…44bcbacked Sharks | 1c | 1,972$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…4be6backed Sharks | 51c | 1,957$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…635abacked Blackhawks | 49c | 1,852$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Blackhawks | 65c | 1,818$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.29 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 52c | 1,794$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.88 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Sharks | 50c | 1,625$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.64 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Blackhawks | 48c | 1,516$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.47 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Sharks | 51c | 1,499$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Blackhawks | 48c | 1,466$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.32 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 24c | 1,371$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.53 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sharks | 48c | 1,370$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.92 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Sharks | 6c | 1,333$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Blackhawks | 49c | 1,186$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.61 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sharks | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Blackhawks | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Blackhawks | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.2 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks | 3c | 1,015$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Sharks | 20c | 1,003$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Sharks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Blackhawks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Sharks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sharks | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Blackhawks | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Blackhawks | 48c | 975.75$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.85 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Blackhawks | 50c | 964.99$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.54 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks | 47c | 916.77$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.22 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Blackhawks | 63c | 896.58$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.16 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Sharks | 51c | 850$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Sharks | 51c | 800$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Sharks | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blackhawks | 49c | 799.95$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.11 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Blackhawksthis page
- Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)Blackhawks won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.