NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15c49302d94aedf0c63d12bc0f4d9ab8b34cadd8796f57c66ce2853e4f258cca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 7,268$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.49 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 3,557$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.9 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 53c | 1,687$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.36 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 51c | 990.36$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.08 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 843.72$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.58 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 55c | 675.9$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.75 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 605.56$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.94 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Under | 54c | 543.47$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 428.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 49c | 410.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 54c | 410$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 366.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 53c | 366$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.98 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 54c | 300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 46c | 278$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.12 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 230.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 186.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 183.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 151.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Over | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Over | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 56c | 81.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 65.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 53c | 60.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 54c | 56.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…3eb0backed Under | 55c | 53.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 50.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 55c | 46.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 53c | 38.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Over | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 52c | 36.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fe…0e0ebacked Under | 51c | 35.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Under | 54c | 32.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 51c | 30.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…6102backed Under | 55c | 26.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 21.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5this page
- Sharks vs. BlackhawksBlackhawks won
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)Blackhawks won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.