TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,998,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,157,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,998,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Spurs45c582,093$261,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,601.5387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves55c335,517$184,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,982.8687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Timberwolves56c202,555$113,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,383.5151844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves55c192,037$106,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,933.491,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Spurs68c116,640$79,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,143.1510239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves56c99,414$55,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,678.0222453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Spurs44c65,000$28,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,599.9812147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Spurs43c63,899$27,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,647.925546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs76c48,835$37,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,278.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves20c45,111$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,111.3425925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Timberwolves57c42,462$24,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,258.627247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…460dbacked Spurs79c42,320$33,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,299.021020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-65.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs44c40,000$17,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,599.9959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Spurs45c36,600$16,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,47029245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Spurs72c33,464$24,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,13910746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs76c31,161$23,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,633.491,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves26c30,231$7,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,379.261,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spurs77c23,788$18,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,360.857869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves55c22,400$12,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,08059347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Timberwolves56c22,347$12,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,932.5274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Timberwolves56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…e10fbacked Spurs44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8c…ef04backed Timberwolves57c20,000$11,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,647.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Timberwolves15c19,899$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,899.4710947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves33c19,801$6,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,257.752,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves57c19,298$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,298.2576746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs44c18,190$8,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,029.392,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves55c18,182$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,181.811,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves18c16,832$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,875.31,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Spurs45c16,475$7,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,413.755655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Timberwolves54c16,091$8,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,401.8819560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb8…d194backed Spurs0c16,065$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs44c15,333$6,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,709.42,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Spurs67c15,100$10,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,072.0527865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Spurs45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Timberwolves55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,75031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Timberwolves55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,749.9719150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Timberwolves32c13,851$4,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,456.4411747%55 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Spurs48c13,836$6,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.441,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Timberwolves57c13,732$7,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,935.4758740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Timberwolves53c13,671$7,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,425.2530845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed Spurs44c13,025$5,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7684961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Spurs45c13,000$5,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,802.7335235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves55c12,341$6,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,553.4589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves56c11,364$6,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.151,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Spurs62c11,169$6,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,912.0411142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Timberwolves55c11,135$6,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,010.7435450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves21c10,603$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,340.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs71c10,194$7,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,217.813,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Spurs45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cde…8833backed Timberwolves34c9,300$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1381921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs44c9,088$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.721,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a3…9b79backed Timberwolves57c8,906$5,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs44c8,732$3,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,817.782,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ec…8b88backed Timberwolves36c8,026$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,165.76053.3%32 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed Timberwolves54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6802653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Spurs45c7,755$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.9228439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Timberwolves56c7,430$4,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.2347043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves52c7,229$3,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,438.721,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Timberwolves56c6,870$3,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.2330947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625f…9ff6backed Timberwolves15c6,837$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,837.415621.4%12 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves28c6,597$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,773.281,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Spurs72c6,541$4,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,722.0510255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Timberwolves56c6,495$3,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.646838.2%26 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Spurs52c6,355$3,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.4716863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Spurs44c6,175$2,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.1327747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs46c6,110$2,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.743,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs44c6,070$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Timberwolves9c6,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,46047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves25c5,988$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,471.933,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves16c5,811$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,894.214,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Spurs44c5,719$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.6839958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb782…3160backed Spurs47c5,682$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Spurs44c5,492$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.6237557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Spurs49c5,454$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69010158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves55c5,388$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.3572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b3…c943backed Spurs44c5,323$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Timberwolves31c5,278$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.291,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves35c5,167$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.131,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8338…2ea3backed Timberwolves57c5,142$2,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Spurs47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…2a35backed Spurs43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73e5…e23ebacked Timberwolves56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs43c4,946$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.922,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf07…77c4backed Timberwolves57c4,854$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Spurs62c4,728$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.3924151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc976…d269backed Spurs44c4,674$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Spurs63c4,475$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,829.485344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8049…1e6cbacked Timberwolves11c4,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.581631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Spurs44c4,453$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.3228742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Spurs44c4,296$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.4938148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Spurs45c4,026$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.716039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Timberwolves38c3,912$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.2341954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs44c3,895$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba3…913abacked Timberwolves16c3,848$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.887746.8%36 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Timberwolves57c3,683$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.4112843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Timberwolves56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5402119%4 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d26…1c15backed Timberwolves58c3,456$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.3922459.4%133 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3107…63b9backed Spurs65c3,400$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.694757.4%27 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.