NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabc4ce88e52dd6679ae5a94c82b45d9acb3abad126cd17a466a8787dfe32090a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Timberwolves, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Spurs | 53c | 18,301$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,601.46 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Timberwolves | 52c | 12,772$6,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,641.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 12,224$5,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,757.01 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Spurs | 52c | 11,238$5,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,394.27 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 51c | 6,640$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 50c | 6,544$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.95 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Timberwolves | 52c | 6,078$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Spurs | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 53c | 4,737$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Spurs | 48c | 4,285$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 41c | 4,245$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.69 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Spurs | 48c | 4,190$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Spurs | 48c | 4,158$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.06 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Spurs | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,188$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.31 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,124$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,040$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c6…bc29backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,997$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Spurs | 48c | 2,304$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.84 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Spurs | 48c | 2,291$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,219$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,179$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,163$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Spurs | 57c | 1,671$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.91 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,545$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.55 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,300$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Spurs | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 52c | 1,127$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.96 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 848$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Timberwolves | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 48c | 559.29$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 68c | 515.51$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 49c | 417.57$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 50c | 397.29$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Spurs | 52c | 383.81$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.28 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Spurs | 48c | 324$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Spurs | 73c | 317.71$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Timberwolves | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Spurs | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Spurs | 50c | 273.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Spurs | 48c | 262.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Spurs | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Spurs | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Spurs | 52c | 191.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Timberwolves | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Timberwolves | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Timberwolves | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Spurs | 54c | 112.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 50c | 110.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Spurs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 98.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 47c | 97.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Spurs | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Spurs | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Spurs | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 76.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Spurs | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 70.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Timberwolves | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 67.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 61.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Spurs | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Timberwolves | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked Spurs | 51c | 58.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Spurs | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x909b…6a0dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Spurs | 51c | 39.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Spurs | 47c | 30.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Timberwolves | 50c | 28.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Spurs | 53c | 25.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Spurs | 53c | 22.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Spurs | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…55b8backed Spurs | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Spurs | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Spurs | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.