TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e6c…9a1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST7353.4%39 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+43.2%+$4.32
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Wild vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Utah vs. Islandersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Penguins vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Spread: Canucks (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST5853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Suns (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$33.39
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+284.6%+$42.69
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.