NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9abb917b77c3d4f78bb01b22522043834c67fcabe94b3a4d5c28561744dc341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Over | 0c | 111,810$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 49c | 57,661$28,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,141.61 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 50c | 15,509$7,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.59 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 7,255$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 5,881$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.11 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Over | 51c | 4,532$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.07 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6146…3f29backed Over | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Over | 50c | 3,916$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 50c | 3,483$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.48 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 1,472$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.79 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 50c | 1,433$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.5 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 934$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed Over | 50c | 749.6$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 50c | 730$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 576$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.73 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 370$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 51c | 343.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.69 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Over | 46c | 326$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 305$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Under | 67c | 296.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 232.21$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 228$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 51c | 209.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 179$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 42c | 130$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 94.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 87.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 51c | 35.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 49c | 20.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 51c | 20.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 52c | 20.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Canucks vs. KrakenCanucks won
- Spread: Canucks (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.