NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canucks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47ec389f9fe46832dfa0d9faddb37fd8ce3d790c6203b34e952e8209abb62ae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Canucks, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kraken | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Canucks | 31c | 370.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Kraken | 69c | 324$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 16c | 277$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Kraken | 69c | 164$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Kraken | 69c | 151$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Kraken | 69c | 149$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Kraken | 69c | 146$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Kraken | 69c | 131$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Kraken | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Kraken | 69c | 104$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Canucks | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kraken | 70c | 80.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Kraken | 70c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Kraken | 69c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Canucks | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Canucks | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canucks | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Canucks | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Canucks | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Canucks | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Canucks | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Canucks | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Canucks | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Canucks | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Canucks | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Canucks | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Canucks | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Canucks | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Canucks | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Canucks | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Canucks | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Canucks | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Canucks | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Canucks | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Canucks | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Canucks | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -80%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Kraken | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Kraken | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 69c | 27.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Kraken | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kraken | 70c | 19.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canucks (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. KrakenCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.