NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x958460e82b783c9d9827ea9a8a8f23006f0d09061c4883ea434c9be632d018ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Jets, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Jets | 46c | 125,284$57,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,559.83 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 30,761$16,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,150.28 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Jets | 46c | 26,220$12,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,048.15 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 19,303$10,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,879.44 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 15,911$8,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.38 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 13,824$7,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,359.14 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Maple Leafs | 21c | 12,688$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,045.95 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jets | 77c | 10,408$8,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,033.32 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Jets | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.96 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jets | 45c | 6,907$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.67 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 6,854$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.61 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Maple Leafs | 24c | 6,671$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.55 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Jets | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 4,444$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.24 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Jets | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Jets | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.97 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,620$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 3,070$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.07 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Jets | 45c | 3,066$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.7 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,909$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.09 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,655$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.32 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maple Leafs | 22c | 2,500$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,419$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.55 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets | 45c | 2,401$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.41 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Jets | 56c | 2,329$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.58 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,273$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.73 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jets | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,203$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Jets | 44c | 2,116$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.2 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 23c | 2,023$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.44 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,906$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.85 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,806$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.7 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Jets | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…430cbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,774$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,716$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.2 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,672$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.37 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…f634backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,481$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…9a74backed Jets | 44c | 1,476$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,365$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.73 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,357$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.51 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jets | 28c | 1,290$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.63 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,138$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.22 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,097$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.65 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,078$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.82 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Maple Leafs | 26c | 1,041$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.66 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Jets | 68c | 1,018$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.29 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Jets | 76c | 931.54$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.67 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 910.62$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.78 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 910$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.7 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets | 57c | 907.24$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.6 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jets | 60c | 887$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.15 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jets | 45c | 852.03$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.39 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 842.35$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.88 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 830$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.4 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Jets | 66c | 795.8$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.83 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 710.4$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…a21abacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 710$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 660$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 645.45$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.45 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 642$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.9 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 629.63$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.63 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…2e26backed Jets | 58c | 605$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…1b08backed Jets | 77c | 604.88$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.63 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 590.26$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Maple Leafs | 27c | 507$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.95 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…9118backed Jets | 45c | 500.31$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Jets | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 488.44$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Maple Leafs | 21c | 455$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.45 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 451.16$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.79 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 417.63$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jets | 68c | 385.82$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.9 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Jets | 47c | 321.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Jets | 44c | 315.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Jets | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Jets | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Jets | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Jets | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Jets vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.