TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,021,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,031,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,021,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 646 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98f7…b3e4backed Islanders46c222,621$102,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,405.6610753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Utah54c202,366$109,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,160.9467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Utah54c104,432$56,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,038.8320354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Utah48c100,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,00015953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Islanders52c95,570$49,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,696.38354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Islanders46c37,037$17,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,037.024050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Utah51c30,924$15,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,025.4361953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Islanders49c25,399$12,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,445.4133345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Utah49c23,284$11,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,818.388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders49c20,530$10,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,075.461,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Islanders46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,2007946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders47c18,480$8,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,633.571,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…6655backed Islanders43c14,899$6,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,447.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Utah51c13,833$7,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,778.219548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Islanders52c13,092$6,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8114146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Utah69c12,775$8,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,995.061,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Utah48c12,502$6,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,461.7433243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Islanders50c11,110$5,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,577.233151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders48c10,500$5,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,016.9951044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Utah60c10,002$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,001.3785464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Islanders41c9,281$3,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,796.7938738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Islanders52c8,946$4,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,651.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Islanders0c8,718$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.37450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah49c7,822$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000.141,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Islanders50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7502065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Islanders48c6,000$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,86011253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Islanders49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9404949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Utah52c5,909$3,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.3724349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders5c5,904$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Islanders50c5,553$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.8693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Islanders9c5,051$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.5510745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Islanders50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Islanders49c4,922$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.7199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Utah66c4,760$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.2917057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Utah63c4,571$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.7557157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Islanders50c4,200$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Islanders52c4,200$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.9928353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Utah64c4,036$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.4622150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Islanders50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Utah51c3,921$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9213354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Utah51c3,836$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.442,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Islanders49c3,582$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.036063.3%38 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders49c3,570$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.4547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Islanders0c3,425$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.092504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Utah53c3,400$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Islanders48c3,087$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47052050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Utah52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Islanders51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Islanders49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.995735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Utah55c2,744$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.9258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Utah57c2,574$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.6539344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Utah63c2,427$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.0452172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Islanders51c2,201$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.29per pick44cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Utah51c2,164$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.736262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Utah48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Islanders41c2,060$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.0734538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fb…a7f3backed Utah51c2,028$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Islanders50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Islanders46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Islanders51c1,980$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a02…3930backed Islanders50c1,945$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Islanders11c1,914$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.492429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Utah60c1,891$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.5820951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Utah52c1,891$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.166958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Islanders48c1,879$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.131,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Islanders47c1,750$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8303953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Islanders49c1,600$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.551,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Islanders48c1,588$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.561,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Utah49c1,560$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.360249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Utah47c1,513$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.191,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Islanders46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Islanders50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.991,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdfa…d079backed Utah43c1,498$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381c…5cacbacked Islanders57c1,498$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83de…5e6bbacked Utah43c1,497$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+61.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…e1d1backed Islanders57c1,497$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9daf…fba7backed Islanders57c1,495$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92a2…2f5fbacked Utah43c1,494$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa16…68a0backed Utah43c1,493$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.014100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb841…3f16backed Islanders57c1,493$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x242d…5cbcbacked Utah43c1,493$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bca…45ffbacked Islanders57c1,493$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6536…04e2backed Islanders57c1,493$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7f7…a339backed Utah43c1,493$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff9…99afbacked Islanders57c1,491$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1e…c7b8backed Utah43c1,491$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…b707backed Islanders51c1,491$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4e…325dbacked Islanders57c1,490$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b5…d1b2backed Utah43c1,490$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9d6…c61dbacked Islanders57c1,490$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb162…40e8backed Utah43c1,490$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d7…9e62backed Islanders57c1,488$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c32…96cfbacked Utah43c1,488$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-61.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3fe…7223backed Utah43c1,486$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd86d…b6e3backed Islanders57c1,486$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.02650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Utah50c1,484$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.2311052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.