NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2986f022b38aa83dc7bac07153680a14b68294db7a29828f0c13f4cd5d18545e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 50c | 46,322$23,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,364.14 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 17,239$8,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,625.43 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Under | 50c | 13,263$6,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,567.62 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 49c | 9,608$4,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Over | 52c | 3,763$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.24 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 48c | 3,763$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.24 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 50c | 2,975$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.65 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 2,923$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 2,009$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.5 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 2,007$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.57 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 55c | 301.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 292.78$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 274.84$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 156$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 120.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Over | 54c | 119.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 65c | 109.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Under | 39c | 63.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 54.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 35.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…d064backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 53c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 46c | 27.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Over | 52c | 26.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. IslandersUtah won
- Utah vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.