NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87b7c43b428860748930faadff10d97b3c9e4257d79f7dab2dce4972f5533a65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,977$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.27 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 6c | 1,300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Under | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 53c | 1,242$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.15 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 59c | 1,016$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Under | 48c | 498.5$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 40c | 109.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 41c | 87.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 40c | 57.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 40c | 56.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 62c | 48.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 59c | 43.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…6610backed Under | 74c | 42.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 58c | 34.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886b…73d1backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…4bb1backed Under | 61c | 25.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…7b48backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…0865backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…0acbbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. IslandersUtah won
- Utah vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.