NBA · resolved market

Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76dc94dfa729f3c2609007c16d6893a8d223fd2b647bcc285389356bed718289

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof Grizzlies, Nets
Resolved: Jan 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,604,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,620,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,604,860 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Nets	51c	918,774$468,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450,704.15	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Grizzlies	49c	500,000$245,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245,000	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets	50c	342,218$170,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171,531.13	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Grizzlies	49c	150,000$73,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,500	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Grizzlies	50c	150,000$75,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74,999.78	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies	49c	107,066$52,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,195.92	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Nets	50c	97,149$48,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,334.11	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies	50c	84,129$42,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,287.38	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Grizzlies	49c	80,000$39,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,500	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Nets	48c	67,530$32,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,977.98	92	63%58 W · 34 L	+9.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies	49c	42,908$21,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,167.96	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Grizzlies	52c	41,682$21,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,674.64	293	51.5%151 W · 142 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies	50c	35,704$17,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,699.24	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies	49c	33,222$16,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,427.25	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Grizzlies	50c	32,035$16,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,017.46	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Grizzlies	50c	31,702$15,851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,851	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Grizzlies	49c	30,000$14,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,700	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ee…ca3cbacked Grizzlies	51c	19,629$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies	50c	16,835$8,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,450.08	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Nets	51c	15,000$7,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,399.99	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Grizzlies	52c	14,423$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Grizzlies	50c	14,256$7,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,179.63	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Nets	54c	14,000$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,500	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f64…098ebacked Grizzlies	50c	12,088$6,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,080	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies	50c	11,765$5,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,835.37	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Grizzlies	51c	10,632$5,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,422.27	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Grizzlies	50c	10,099$5,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,049.61	265	46%122 W · 143 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies	49c	10,020$4,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,909.8	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets	50c	6,182$3,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,084.66	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Grizzlies	50c	6,001$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000.33	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Nets	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,940	67	67.2%45 W · 22 L	+10.7wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x00f4…df59backed Grizzlies	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1062…ac82backed Grizzlies	48c	6,000$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,879.99	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Grizzlies	50c	5,961$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Nets	51c	5,841$2,954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,887	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Grizzlies	50c	5,523$2,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,761.46	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nets	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies	45c	4,185$1,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,883.15	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Nets	55c	4,082$2,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,837.02	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Grizzlies	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Grizzlies	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies	51c	3,999$2,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.49	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Grizzlies	51c	3,660$1,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,852	173	44.5%77 W · 96 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Grizzlies	49c	3,500$1,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,715	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+7.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Nets	51c	3,127$1,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,546.15	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies	50c	3,100$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,538.38	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9d…c5dbbacked Nets	52c	3,077$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,476.92	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4d…92f4backed Nets	52c	2,923$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,403.08	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Grizzlies	50c	2,180$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.78	246	53.3%131 W · 115 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Grizzlies	51c	2,112$1,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Nets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Grizzlies	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Nets	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.99	227	52%118 W · 109 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Grizzlies	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Grizzlies	52c	1,792$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Grizzlies	49c	1,717$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.33	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Grizzlies	50c	1,582$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.84	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies	49c	1,532$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.45	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Grizzlies	50c	1,163$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.39	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies	49c	1,122$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.78	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Grizzlies	50c	1,072$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.76	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Grizzlies	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Grizzlies	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Grizzlies	49c	978.07$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.25	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Nets	49c	975$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.25	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Grizzlies	51c	960.78$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	191	47.1%90 W · 101 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies	50c	854.42$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.71	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies	50c	804.72$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.43	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Grizzlies	51c	774.51$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-17.6wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xaebb…52f0backed Grizzlies	49c	700$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Nets	41c	699.99$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.99	289	29.4%85 W · 204 L	-13.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nets	51c	680.68$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.55	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Grizzlies	48c	657.45$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.38	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75da…fc93backed Grizzlies	49c	629.58$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Grizzlies	51c	628.14$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.35	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies	45c	619.89$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.68	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Nets	49c	600$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nets	51c	587.02$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.02	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236a…1a3ebacked Nets	50c	578.98$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.49	83	41%34 W · 49 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Grizzlies	51c	509.8$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Grizzlies	60c	506.6$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.96	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-51%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Nets	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255c…d29cbacked Nets	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Grizzlies	45c	462.99$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.35	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies	50c	412.78$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.8	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Grizzlies	49c	410$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.9	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb248…3652backed Grizzlies	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc328…d945backed Grizzlies	69c	400.94$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.75	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nets	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Grizzlies	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Grizzlies	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	470	48.5%228 W · 242 L	-18.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Grizzlies	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Nets	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-12.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Grizzlies	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…a405backed Nets	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed Grizzlies	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Nets	51c	372.55$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.55	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies	51c	369$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.19	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event