NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb841c46518e883f19db1769c175c1a6de49f7565016be1508415c0a1f9e82d5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $434,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Over | 53c | 337,997$178,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,965.67 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 30,256$14,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,930.51 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 21,434$10,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,246.55 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 50c | 16,921$8,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,441.36 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 16,253$8,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,125.42 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 15,428$7,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,025.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 10,816$5,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.51 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 47c | 5,200$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 48c | 4,688$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.5 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 4,658$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.9 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 51c | 4,233$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.66 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 3,613$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.63 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…933fbacked Under | 49c | 3,327$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 49c | 2,576$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.76 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 2,126$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,940$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.47 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 52c | 1,919$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.06 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 1,758$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.78 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.05 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,178$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.1 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 1,119$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.33 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 816.45$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.06 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 51c | 784$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 51c | 766.9$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.78 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 52c | 678$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.56 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 606.1$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.05 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…28d6backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 52c | 531.25$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 47c | 531$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 39c | 466.95$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.95 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 297.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 47c | 273.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 264$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 240.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Under | 52c | 213.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 208.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Over | 53c | 208.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 63c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Over | 55c | 186$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 56c | 177.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 173.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 47c | 155.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 9c | 155$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 50c | 131.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 50c | 124.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a085backed Over | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 48c | 120.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 48c | 103.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 48c | 90.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 48c | 88.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 76.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…6e1ebacked Over | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 53c | 52.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 44.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 50c | 41.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 220.5this page
- Nets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 205.5Under won
- Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Under won
- Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Under won
- Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-13.5)Nets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Nets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Nets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)Nets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-9.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.