TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe681…6e1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75.21
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.56
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34.57
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.29
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$33
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32.74
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+83.4%+$35.04
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$29.81
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+138.1%+$40.01
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55.5
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO1)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+170.3%+$51.08
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: DRX vs T1 (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: DRX Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$34.23
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+471.7%+$153.29
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+233.3%+$57.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.21
Clippers vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30.57
Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$75.38
Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+222.6%+$77.01
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Kings (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$70.34
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+193.9%+$72.57
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$54.72
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$36.13
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+170.3%+$102.16
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.08
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150%+$69
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$118.83
Will the US strike Iran next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+119%+$43.2
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$119.88
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$63.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$54.37
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$56.41
Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Boston College Eagles vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.4
Nicholls Colonels vs. McNeese State Cowboysbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.81
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knightsbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$137.91
Boston College Eagles vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48.02
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machacbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$67.3
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Comesana (+1.5)backed Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$79.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$22.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.